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GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls reclaim 50-day SMA, eye 217.00
The GBP/JPY cross-pair is poised to finish Monday’s session with gains of over 0.14% as traders prepare for the beginning of Tuesday’s Asian session. The cross-pair has climbed above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 215.52, often seen as a breakout that opens the door to further upside.
The Japanese Yen is losing to its own import bill
USD/JPY sat near 159.50 through Monday inside a 75-pip range for a net gain of 10 pips, on the day the Dollar Index broke beneath its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to its weakest level since June.
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Struggles at 1.1600, dives below 100-day SMA
The shared currency clings to minimal gains versus the US Dollar on Monday, edging up by some 0.08% after reaching a month-and-a-half high at 1.1614, then reversing course and falling beneath 1.1600, poised to end the session near the low of the day (LOD) of 1.1561.
British Pound Sterling did not earn its three-month high
GBP/USD cleared 1.3550 on Monday for the first time in three months, printed the highest level of the window just above it and handed the entire advance back within hours for a net gain under 10 pips. Sterling did none of the work behind that number.
New Zealand Dollar stalls as China slows down
NZD/USD is close to flat on the day, holding the 0.5900 region and unable to join the broader move against a soft US Dollar (USD).
China: Growth risks and stimulus watch – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Alex Loo highlights that China’s July data showed weaker industrial production, modest retail sales and record-weak Fixed Assets Investment, reinforcing concerns about insufficient domestic demand.
US Treasury yields surge as 30-year hits 2007 high
US Treasury yields advance on Monday during the North American session after reversing their course following the release of US Retail Sales data last week, which disappointed investors.
Indonesian Rupiah: BI expected to extend policy pause – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Bank Indonesia (BI) to keep its policy rate at 5.75% for a second straight meeting after 100 bps of tightening since May.
United States Total Net TIC Flows: $133.5B (June) vs $132.2B
United States Total Net TIC Flows: $133.5B (June) vs $132.2B
United States Net Long-Term TIC Flows registered at $172.7B above expectations ($151.4B) in June
United States Net Long-Term TIC Flows registered at $172.7B above expectations ($151.4B) in June
Japanese Yen muted on a soft US Dollar note
USD/JPY is close to flat on Monday, holding the mid-159.00s region after a soft Japanese growth report overnight failed to shift it in either direction. The pair has been drifting between support at 158.60 and resistance just above 159.50 for five straight days. This is a standoff, not a trend.
Singapore Dollar: Mild upside bias against US Dollar remains intact – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD remains under mild downward pressure after slipping to 1.2775 before rebounding. Intraday, the pair may retest 1.2775, but support at 1.2765 is expected to hold.
Mexican Peso softens as Middle East risks boost US Dollar
The Mexican Peso (MXN) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, with USD/MXN reclaiming the 17.00 level, even though the latest US inflation and Retail Sales data disappointed investors. At the time of writing, the USD/MXN pair trades at 17.03, breaking a four-day losing streak.