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EUR/USD Price Forecast: 100-Day SMA blocks bullish reversal
The EUR/USD pair registers gains of over 0.32% on Friday as traders face key resistance at the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.1567, as bulls eye the 1.1600 psychological figure. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1564 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.1526.
Chinese Yuan: Activity data and PBOC stance guide FX – MUFG
MUFG’s Asia FX Weekly highlights that China’s July activity indicators, following weak Q2 GDP, will be central for the Chinese Yuan and regional FX.
Japanese Yen holds as soft US data meets a weak Yen
USD/JPY is holding near 159.40 at the time of writing, with little change on the day. A weak United States (US) Consumer Sentiment reading nudged the Dollar lower, but the pair has stayed close to where it started.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Bears target the 200-day SMA
USD/CAD extends its decline farther below 1.4000 on Friday and heads for a third consecutive weekly loss. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.3877, at levels last seen in early July.
Singapore Dollar: Consolidation near 1.28 with upside risks against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/SGD is consolidating around 1.28 as softer United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) trims Federal Reserve (Fed) hike expectations but fails to trigger fresh US Dollar (USD) selling.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Bearish flag holds as bulls eye 0.8150
The USD/CHF turns negative on the day, snapping a four-day winning streak, yet it remains above 0.8100, suggesting further upside is possible if buyers reclaim key resistance levels. At the time of writing, the pair trades at a 0.12% loss.
South Korean Won: Gains target 1407 against US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts note USD/KRW has corrected after losing its 200-day moving average near 1478 and is now testing an ascending trend line from 2023 around 1407.
Chinese Yuan: Range trade persists near 6.7450 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/CNH remains confined to a tight intraday range, with momentum indicators still flat and the pair expected to trade between 6.7400 and 6.7500.
New Zealand Dollar charges toward 0.5900 as US Dollar loses ground
NZD/USD gains 0.75% on Friday and trades around 0.5895 at the time of writing, with its rally losing some momentum as it approaches the psychological 0.5900 level.
Euro: Spreads support upside bias against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report EUR/USD trading in the mid-1.15s with modest gains versus the US Dollar (USD), supported by euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and a return to trade surplus.
EUR/GBP stuck in a tight range as traders observe the war
EUR/GBP has traded in a tight range around the mid-0.8500s on Friday, little changed on the day. The latest Eurozone figures came in close to forecasts, and they did nothing to push the pair out of the range it has held all week.
ASEAN FX: Regional data and growth concerns – MUFG
MUFG analysts focus on several ASEAN indicators for regional currencies. They flag Singapore’s July non-oil domestic exports after June’s strong 20.7% year-on-year rise, and expect Malaysia’s CPI to stay contained at 1.9% year-on-year.
Canada: Core softness guides BoC path – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Robert Both expects Canadian headline CPI to rise to 2.9% year-on-year in July, driven by higher gasoline and food prices, while ex. food/energy components stay muted.