Noticias del mercado
Mantente al día de las noticias, datos y análisis que mueven el forex y los mercados financieros globales.
Euro: French spreads threaten downside against US Dollar – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that France’s deteriorating public finances are driving a sharp widening in French-German spreads, with the premium already near past crisis highs. Using Italy’s 2018 budget turmoil as a template, Haddad warns that further spread widening could pressure EUR/USD toward 1.1000, while noting that France’s 2027 presidential election may eventually restore confidence if credible deficit reduction is delivered.
Russia Central Bank Reserves $: $723.2B vs previous $723.5B
Russia Central Bank Reserves $: $723.2B vs previous $723.5B
European Central Bank: Communication focus as French spreads widen – Nordea
Nordea’s Jan von Gerich expects the ECB to keep rates unchanged at the October Governing Council meeting, with the next 25bp hike still likely in December. He highlights the sharp widening in French government bond spreads and tighter financing conditions, noting that higher French yields affect a large part of the Euro area and could influence the ECB’s policy tone and timing.
US Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 194K last week
According to a report from the US Department of Labor (DOL) released Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance decreased to 194K for the week ending October 17.
Swiss Franc: Funding role faces safe-haven risks - Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes highlights the Swiss Franc’s role as a funding currency, with gradual depreciation interrupted by sharp rebounds during periods of market stress. With Swiss inflation subdued and fiscal and external balances stable, he sees little pressure on the SNB to raise rates.
Canada Raw Material Price Index above expectations (3.1%) in September: Actual (4.8%)
Canada Raw Material Price Index above expectations (3.1%) in September: Actual (4.8%)
Canada Industrial Product Price (MoM) above forecasts (0.9%) in September: Actual (2%)
Canada Industrial Product Price (MoM) above forecasts (0.9%) in September: Actual (2%)
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average registered at 197.75K, below expectations (200K) in October 16
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average registered at 197.75K, below expectations (200K) in October 16
United States Initial Jobless Claims below forecasts (200K) in October 16: Actual (194K)
United States Initial Jobless Claims below forecasts (200K) in October 16: Actual (194K)
United States Continuing Jobless Claims came in at 1.728M, above forecasts (1.72M) in October 9
United States Continuing Jobless Claims came in at 1.728M, above forecasts (1.72M) in October 9
WTI Oil Price Forecast: Buyers eye breakout above $100 as upside pressure builds
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil rebounds on Thursday as ongoing tensions in the Middle East keep supply risks elevated, maintaining a significant geopolitical risk premium in energy markets.
Euro retreats below 1.1200 as French yields rally, Oil flirts with five-month highs
The Euro (EUR) pares recent gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, as escalating French bond yields and higher Oil prices amid growing uncertainty in the Middle East prove a heavy weight for any significant recovery.
Japanese Yen: BoJ hawkish hold keeps January hike in focus – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Chong Hoon Park expects the Bank of Japan to keep its policy rate at 1.25% at the 29-30 October meeting, maintaining a hawkish tone. The bank notes upside inflation risks and firmer Tokyo CPI and PPI data, but highlights weak domestic demand and subdued consumption. December is seen as a live meeting, while January 2027 remains the base case for the next hike.