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Iran: Mediators propose 10-day cessation of strikes to revive US-Iran interim deal
According to a senior Iranian official, mediators have proposed a 10-day cessation of strikes to find ways to revive the interim deal between the United States (US) and Iran.
Oil: Geopolitical shocks tighten crude and diesel markets – Rabobank
Rabobank says renewed U.S.-Iran tensions, Russia-Ukraine strikes and CPC loading disruptions have lifted crude and refining margins sharply. Brent briefly topped $90, while severe diesel-market tightness is feeding through to export policy and U.S. pump prices.
Indian Rupee: RBI support as INR nears record low against US Dollar – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu reports that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has intervened onshore and offshore to support the Indian Rupee (INR) as USD/INR trades close to its all‑time high.
US Dollar Index: Higher energy supports DXY recovery – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes that deteriorating Gulf headlines and higher energy prices are keeping the Dollar supported, even if US Dollar Index (DXY) remains about 1% below its June peak.
WTI Oil rally takes a breather as Tehran leaves the door open to diplomacy
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades around $81.30 on Monday at the time of writing, down 0.54% on the day as investors take some profits following the commodity's sharp rally in recent weeks.
British Pound: Sterling rally seen nearing exhaustion against Euro – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong argue recent British Pound (GBP) strength looks stretched as markets price in fiscal discipline from the new UK government under Andy Burnham.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD nears the tip of a triangle formation at the $4,000 area
Gold (XAU/USD) shows marginal gains on Monday, as the US Dollar recovery stalled and Oil prices pulled back from highs. The precious metal remains capped below a descending trendline resistance, but downside attempts remain supported above the $3,965 area, thus forming a descending triangle pattern
UK PM Starmer: My work is done
United Kingdom (UK) Prime Minister (PM) Keir Starmer, the seventh PM since Britain’s exit from the European Union (EU), delivers his resignation to King Charles at Buckingham Palace.
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Flatlines around 218.50 with long-term highs at hand
GBP/JPY wavers around 218.50, with bears contained above previous highs at 218.00.
Japanese Yen: BoJ expectations skewed to upside – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Japan’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) to edge higher across headline and core measures, with core ex fresh food and energy steady at 1.8%.
Euro: Growth validation needed for value case – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that Euro (EUR) assets show emerging value as the European Central Bank (ECB) holds policy and inflation pressures ease, but stresses that Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data and earnings must confirm stable growth.
Euro holds steady vs Japanese Yen ahead of ECB, BoJ meetings
EUR/JPY trades around 185.70 on Monday at the time of writing, showing little direction after a quiet start to the week.
CEE FX: Risk-off keeps pressure on forint – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that escalating US-Iran tensions are driving risk-off sentiment, overshadowing a light Central and Eastern Europe data calendar.