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Canadian Dollar: Inflation cools as BoC stays patient – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) Abbey Xu notes that Canadian inflation eased in June, with Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowing to 2.8% year-over-year and energy prices reversing part of their earlier surge.
British Pound: Sterling shifts into broader range against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang reports GBP/USD slipping but lacking strong downside momentum, with intraday trade expected between 1.3420 and 1.3475. The prior bullish view has faded after a break of 1.3450 support, and the pair is now seen in a 1.3385–1.3495 range.
Fed: On-hold stance with upside hike risk – TD Securities
TD Securities expects the Federal Reserve to keep the Fed funds rate unchanged through 2026, as inflation stays above target and the labor market stabilizes.
Canadian Dollar under pressure as softer inflation meets firmer US Dollar
USD/CAD edges higher on Monday as softer-than-expected Canadian inflation data and a firmer US Dollar (USD) weigh on the Canadian Dollar (CAD), while tensions in the Middle East keep financial markets volatile. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.4045, up 0.17% on the day.
Oil: Diplomatic risk keeps prices supported – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that Iran’s signals of continued military response alongside active mediation keep the Middle East conflict in a managed but unstable phase.
Australian Dollar: Labor data seen reinforcing RBA pause – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Australia’s June labor force report to show a modest 15k job gain and unemployment steady at 4.4%, slightly above the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) projection.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ tightening cycle underpins Kiwi – HSBC
HSBC strategists see NZD/USD supported by New Zealand’s strengthening growth data and an aggressive Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) hiking path. The RBNZ has begun raising rates and HSBC Economics projects 25bp hikes per quarter to 3.50% by Q3 2027.
Silver climbs near $57 despite renewed Fed rate hike expectations
Silver (XAG/USD) advances toward $56.90 per troy ounce on Monday at the time of writing, gaining 1.6% on the day. The precious metal continues to benefit from safe-haven demand as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East keep risk sentiment under pressure.
Euro: Policy divergence supports gains against US Dollar - DBS
DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee argues that the Euro (EUR) may find support in coming weeks as markets reassess geopolitical risks and central bank divergence.
British Pound: Market calm under Burnham’s cautious agenda – ING
James Smith at ING highlights that UK markets have reacted calmly to Andy Burnham becoming prime minister, with risk premia contained as investors expect no major policy shocks this year.
Breaking: Canada's headline CPI rose by 2.8% YoY in June
Canada’s inflation has cooled a tad in June, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 2.8% from a year earlier, coming in below market expectations and down from the 3.2% increase recorded in May. On a monthly basis, prices declined by 0.4%.
Canada Consumer Price Index - Core (MoM) unchanged at 0.2% in June
Canada Consumer Price Index - Core (MoM) unchanged at 0.2% in June
Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.8%, below expectations (2.9%) in June
Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.8%, below expectations (2.9%) in June