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Swiss Franc holds gains against US Dollar as Middle East tensions outweigh upbeat US data
USD/CHF trades around 0.8070 at the time of writing on Friday, down 0.22% on the day. The pair remains under pressure as safe-haven demand for the Swiss Franc (CHF) offsets modest support for the US Dollar (USD) following stronger-than-expected US consumer sentiment data.
Brent: Oil risks rise on Bab al-Mandab threat – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s commodity team highlights renewed geopolitical risks for Oil as Iran again threatens to block the Strait of Bab al-Mandab, a key route for Saudi exports rerouted from the Strait of Hormuz.
Global FX: Divergent central bank paths and Oil – Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo Economics has raised its global Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecast to 2.7% for 2026 and trimmed global Consumer Price Index (CPI) to 4.3%, reflecting a slightly lower Oil price path.
Fed’s Hammack: Persistently high inflation is the bigger concern
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said in a LinkedIn post on Friday that inflation pressure remains broad-based, with businesses calling for policy action and consumers expressing a growing sense of despair as they struggle to cover their expenses.
Euro: Modest pullback before ECB decision against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report EUR/USD trading slightly lower in quiet conditions as markets look ahead to next week’s ECB meeting, with policymakers in a blackout period and implied volatility subdued. They and consensus expect no policy change.
Canada: Energy-led CPI pullback supports BoC – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Robert Both expects Canadian headline CPI to ease to 2.9% year-on-year in June, with a 0.2% monthly decline driven by sharply lower Energy prices.
Gold: Rally stalls as Fed outlook stays hawkish – Commerzbank
Thu Lan Nguyen at Commerzbank notes that weaker United States (US inflation data briefly supported Gold, but the price has slipped back below USD 4,000 per troy ounce.
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: RSI flirts with oversold territory as bears defend key resistance
EUR/GBP edges higher on Friday, extending gains for a second consecutive day as traders cover short positions following the midweek sell-off. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 0.8501 but is still on track for a fourth straight weekly loss.
Canadian Dollar: Bullish bias with 1.3981 in focus against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as a modest outperformer, with firmer Oil offsetting weak equities and narrowing front-end spreads driving gains. Position adjustment after heavy CAD short-building is adding tailwinds.
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index: 54 (July) vs 50.7
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index: 54 (July) vs 50.7
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations: 4.2% (July) vs previous 4.6%
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations: 4.2% (July) vs previous 4.6%
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation: 3.3% (July)
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation: 3.3% (July)
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 54.4, above expectations (51) in July
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 54.4, above expectations (51) in July