ข่าวตลาด
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US Dollar: Low volatility risks and summer outlook – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole and Frantisek Taborsky note that DXY-weighted short-term implied volatility has dropped to 2021 levels, despite geopolitical tensions and Federal Reserve risks. Pesole argues that AI-driven equity resilience is anchoring currencies and supporting carry trades.
United Kingdom: Supply-side choices shape outlook – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Global Daily, titled “To govern is to choose”, discusses the UK’s political and macroeconomic backdrop as Labour’s Andy Burnham is set to become prime minister.
European Central Bank: Holds fire as September stays live – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep the deposit rate at 2.25% in July after June’s hike, with September remaining a live meeting.
United States Capacity Utilization came in at 76.1%, below expectations (76.2%) in June
United States Capacity Utilization came in at 76.1%, below expectations (76.2%) in June
United States Industrial Production (MoM) registered at 0.1%, below expectations (0.2%) in June
United States Industrial Production (MoM) registered at 0.1%, below expectations (0.2%) in June
Canadian Dollar gains on Friday's surging Oil prices
USD/CAD trades under pressure on Friday as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) benefits from higher Oil prices, offsetting the US Dollar’s (USD) recovery. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.4022, near a one-month low.
UK: Andy Burnham outlines pro-business Labour, inflation plan
UK Labour leader Andy Burnham said on Friday that he intends to lead a pro-business Labour Party, arguing that his experience working with businesses as Mayor of Greater Manchester will serve as the model for his future government, according to Reuters.
British Pound: Overvaluation points to Euro recovery – ING
ING strategist Francesco Pesole notes that the recent GBP rally has stalled and EUR/GBP has rebounded from an important break lower. At 0.850, the cross remains around 1.5% undervalued versus ING’s short-term fair value model.
European gas: Prices stay elevated as supply tightens – Commerzbank
Norman Liebke at Commerzbank expects European gas prices to remain high in the near term, even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens sustainably.
United States Import Price Index (YoY) climbed from previous 6.7% to 7.1% in June
United States Import Price Index (YoY) climbed from previous 6.7% to 7.1% in June
US Dollar: Energy shock may delay renewed downtrend – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that ongoing Middle East conflict, stronger United States (US) data and crude Oil risks are limiting US Dollar (USD) selling. Better manufacturing and retail figures have not shifted Fed expectations much, but a full hike remains priced by year-end.
United States Export Price Index (YoY) down to 10.2% in June from previous 11.2%
United States Export Price Index (YoY) down to 10.2% in June from previous 11.2%
Canada Foreign Portfolio Investment in Canadian Securities came in at $7.9B below forecasts ($15.21B) in May
Canada Foreign Portfolio Investment in Canadian Securities came in at $7.9B below forecasts ($15.21B) in May