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US Dollar: Resilient but upside seen limited – TD Securities
TD Securities notes the US economy and labor market are resilient but not overheating, leading them to push Fed rate hike calls to December 2026 and March 2027. They believe market pricing for Fed hawkishness has peaked and see it as hard to derive persistently bullish Dollar signals from Fed and data alone, even as their scorecard still ranks the USD highest.
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 23.750K
Private-sector hiring in the US has gained some pace in early September. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 23.750K jobs per week in the four weeks ending September 19.
US Dollar: Supported by ISM and Fed pricing – BBH
Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman highlights that the Dollar has trimmed some recent gains but retains support from strong US data and Fed expectations. September ISM services and manufacturing indexes point to resilient growth, while Prices Paid suggest intensifying inflation.
US Dollar: Staying supported as Fed hike base case – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that the Dollar remains supported early in the week, helped by Euro-specific weakness and higher global bond yields, even as strong equities cap gains. The ISM services data were slightly hawkish but not enough to shift expectations for an October Federal Reserve hold.
Dow Jones futures rise due to easing Fed rate hike expectations
Dow Jones futures gain by 0.47% to trade near 51,800 during European hours on Tuesday. S&P 500 futures advance by 0.24% to trade around 7,840, while Nasdaq 100 futures rise by 0.27% to trade near 31,400.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Hovers around 102.00 within overbought region
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is holding its position after posting modest gains the previous day and hovering around 102.10 after pulling back from nearly 18-month highs during the European hours on Tuesday.
United States Dollar Index holds above 102, remains supported by firm bond yields
The US Dollar (USD) trades broadly firm against its major currency peers as United States (US) bond yields remain higher due to persistent inflation fears.
Japanese Yen weakens as wide yield gap supports US Dollar
The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains on the back foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday as the wide yield differential continues to favour the Greenback, while broader structural headwinds weigh on the Japanese currency. At the time of writing, USD/JPY trades around 158.10, up 0.17% on the day.
Forex Today: PMIs in Europe and Fedspeak will do the rounds
The US Dollar (USD) has picked up extra pace on Monday, reaching fresh tops on the back of persistent safe-haven demand, while fiscal concerns in Europe continued to weigh on the broader risk complex.
Dollar Index hits an 18-month high on French debt fears
France's government owes close to 120% of what its economy produces in a year. The gap between what France and Germany pay to borrow for 10 years reached about 1.5 percentage points on Friday, the widest since 2011.
Canadian Dollar attracts fresh buying after touching multi-month low
USD/CAD reverses its earlier gains on Monday as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) outperforms its major peers, while the US Dollar (USD) consolidates after mixed US business activity data.
US Dollar: Upside risks persist as data watched – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes the Dollar rallied broadly last week as DXY hit new cyclical highs alongside widening US-G6 rate differentials and a deepening global bond selloff.
Why is the US Dollar rising despite October Fed hike odds fading?
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is testing fresh yearly highs near the 102.50 zone, powered by independent Euro (EUR) weakness and relative resilience in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate path.

