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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Recovery remains fragile below key moving averages
EUR/USD struggles to extend its gains on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) steadies after coming under heavy pressure on Thursday. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1230, below an intraday high of 1.1269, but remains on track for its first weekly gain in six weeks.
Australian Dollar pares gains as US Dollar steadies, RBA hike bets ease
AUD/USD trims some of its earlier gains on Friday as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations cushion the downside in the US Dollar (USD) and US Treasury yields following the previous day’s pullback.
Dollar Index slips as Fed Chair Warsh won't prejudge October
Fed Chair Warsh's last word before the quiet period was that he doesn't prejudge meetings, and the Dollar Index is lower on it, though the drop stalled near 101.60 twice. It fell from just above 102.00 to about 101.85 in one five-minute bar as he spoke, then slid to its lowest since October 1.
Canadian Dollar climbs to two-week high despite hawkish Fed expectations
USD/CAD extends its decline on Friday as broad US Dollar (USD) weakness lifts the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to its highest level in more than two weeks. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.4138, after reaching 1.4299 on Wednesday, its highest level since April 2025.
Japanese Yen struggles to gain ground despite softer US Dollar
USD/JPY is little changed on Friday but heads for its first weekly loss in five weeks amid a sharp decline in the US Dollar (USD). However, the Japanese Yen (JPY) finds only limited support as its fundamental backdrop remains fragile.
US Dollar: AI focus clouds Fed path – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes the US Dollar is broadly unchanged after Fed Chair Warsh avoided fresh policy guidance, reinforcing market pricing for a low chance of an October hike.
US Dollar: Flatter curve supports currency – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes that the Dollar is benefiting from a flatter US yield curve as hot inflation data keeps short-dated rates elevated while long-dated Treasuries recover. He argues this backdrop typically favors the Dollar versus activity and emerging market currencies.
Experts agree: US Dollar might have reached a top with the AI bubble teetering
The US Dollar (USD) has depreciated sharply against most of its major peers over the last two days, hammered by a mix of lower US Treasury yields and dovish comments by Federal Reserve (Fed) officials.
US Dollar: AI-driven vulnerabilities surface – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong discuss how AI-linked investment has become a key pillar of US growth, equities, yields and Dollar strength. They warn that US-centric AI financing concerns can flip these supports, creating a risk-off environment with lower US Treasury yields and a softer USD, highlighting the Dollar’s growing exposure to an AI investment slowdown.
Euro recovers further against US Dollar amid AI sell-off narrative
The Euro (EUR) extends its recovery move to near 1.1250 against the US Dollar (USD) in the European trading session on Friday. The major currency pair started recovering after posting a fresh 16-month low near 1.1113 on Wednesday.
Dow Jones futures lead market gains following comments from US financial leaders
Dow Jones futures rise by 0.19% to trade near 52,530 during European hours on Friday. S&P 500 futures gain 0.09% to trade around 7,800, while Nasdaq 100 futures inch higher by 0.03% to near 30,150.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Remains below 102.00, ascending channel bottom
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is extending its losses for the second successive day and trading around 101.90 during the Asian hours on Friday.
US Dollar: Strong data yet limited support – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that despite stronger-than-expected US inflation, retail sales and producer prices, the Dollar and EUR/USD have largely reverted to pre-data levels.