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Eurozone: Energy shock risks for inflation – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Bas van Geffen says renewed US-Iran hostilities have shifted Eurozone inflation risks upward. June’s softer-than-expected flash estimate may buy the ECB time in July, but the earlier decline in energy prices has reversed, pointing to firmer inflation readings ahead.
Euro pauses a two-day winning streak as the US Dollar steadies
EUR/USD trades with a downside bias on Thursday, snapping a two-day winning streak as the US Dollar (USD) steadies following recent losses driven by softer-than-expected United States (US) inflation data. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1457, down modestly on the day.
Natural gas: Storage challenge grows on LNG competition – ING
ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey highlight that investment funds have sharply increased net long positions in TTF natural gas, driven by fresh longs.
Euro turns upside down as US Dollar bounces back
The Euro (EUR) trades marginally lower to near 1.1460 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday after giving back its early gains.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD stays below 20-day EMA, sees further downside below $3,940
Gold price (XAU/USD) is down 0.7% to near $4,030 during the European trading session on Thursday. The precious metal faces selling pressures as global inflation concerns remain intact amid elevated energy prices in the wake of widening military aggression between the United States (US) and Iran.
Crude oil loading suspended at all Iraqi terminals after drone incident – Reuters
Citing four Iraqi oil and security sources, Reuters reported on Thursday that a drone crashed into an oil tanker in Iraq's Basra terminal, although no damage or fire was caused.
WTI remains broadly firm near $79 amid continued US-Iran aggression
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trade 0.9% lower to near $79.00 during the European trading session on Thursday, but is closer to its monthly high of $80.61 posted on Tuesday.
US Dollar: Disinflation meets Oil – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that softer United States (US) inflation data has reduced expectations of near-term Fed tightening, weighing on front-end US yields and the US Dollar (USD) while supporting risk-sensitive assets.
Oil: Physical market tightens with Persian Gulf risks – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note Oil prices have extended gains as US–Iran tensions escalate and tanker flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain under pressure. Large second-quarter inventory drawdowns and the imminent end of global SPR releases leave the market more exposed.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD tumbles to near $57 as inflation projections remain de-anchored
Silver price (XAG/USD) trades 1.33% lower to near $58.00 during the European trading session on Thursday. The white metal faces selling pressure as elevated energy prices due to renewed aggression between the United States (US) and Iran have de-anchored inflation expectations again.
Indian Rupee falls further amid higher oil prices, FIIs extend selling streak
The Indian Rupee (INR) trades lower against the US Dollar (USD), extending its losing streak for the third trading day on Thursday. The USD/INR pair rises to near 96.32 as elevated crude oil prices have renewed fears of higher foreign outflows.
WTI Price Forecast: Slips below $79.00; bullish bias persists amid US-Iran tensions
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – ticks lower during the Asian session on Thursday, though it lacks bearish conviction and remains close to an over one-month high touched earlier this week.
Brent: Price spike still below stress threshold – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight a sharp two-day rally in Brent Oil driven by geopolitical tensions and Gulf-related policy headlines.