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United States Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) in line with forecasts (4.2%) in July
United States Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) in line with forecasts (4.2%) in July
United States Producer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0%, below expectations (0.2%) in July
United States Producer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0%, below expectations (0.2%) in July
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average increased to 199K in August 7 from previous 198.75K
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average increased to 199K in August 7 from previous 198.75K
United States Initial Jobless Claims registered at 209K above expectations (202K) in August 7
United States Initial Jobless Claims registered at 209K above expectations (202K) in August 7
Euro steadies against Japanese Yen as ECB rate hike expectations strengthen
EUR/JPY trades around 183.80 on Thursday at the time of writing, little changed on the day.
Indian Rupee: Benign inflation reinforces RBI pause – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao analyzes India’s July inflation data and its implications for the Reserve Bank of India. She notes that benign core inflation and limited spillovers from external shocks support a continued RBI policy pause.
New Zealand Dollar: Anchored expectations back RBNZ hikes – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes NZD/USD briefly dipped below its 200-day moving average as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Q3 inflation expectations survey showed mixed but well-anchored readings near the 2% midpoint.
Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) above expectations (0.3%) in June: Actual (0.5%)
Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) above expectations (0.3%) in June: Actual (0.5%)
Euro gains against British Pound despite stronger UK growth data
EUR/GBP edges higher on Thursday as the Euro (EUR) draws support from hawkish European Central Bank (ECB) expectations, overshadowing stronger-than-expected UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data that would otherwise have supported the British Pound (GBP).
Federal Reserve: Gradual easing path – UOB
Alvin Liew of UOB outlines expectations for the Federal Funds Rate following the July US CPI release. Market pricing for a September hike has fallen, and UOB’s base case is an extended pause through 2026.
European Central Bank: Independence risks rise with debt – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Marco Wagner assesses how political pressure threatens the European Central Bank’s (ECB) independence using a Central Bank Pressure Index based on AI analysis of politicians’ statements.
Riksbank: Rate hike risks rise – Nomura
Nomura strategists expects the Riksbank to keep its policy rate at 1.75% in August, with no change through 2026.
British Pound: Solid UK data, limited BoE impact – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes GBP/USD trading directionless near 1.3500 as United Kingdom (UK) Q2 and June Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data show encouraging activity. Growth was driven by investment and consumption, with government spending a drag.