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Indian Rupee: Lower oil and inflows support INR against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong highlight that the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) decision to hold the repo rate at 5.25% while lowering inflation forecasts and nudging growth higher, alongside strong capital inflows, has put India’s balance of payments on track for a healthy surplus.
Australian Dollar: AAA rating intact but growth risks linger – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu reports that S&P has affirmed Australia’s AAA rating with a stable outlook, citing strong institutions and modest public debt. The agency expects deficits to remain contained and net debt to stabilize over the forecast horizon.
Czech Koruna: Sideways against Euro as CNB holds rates – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Czech National Bank (CNB) to keep its policy rate at 3.75%, framing June’s hike as fine-tuning rather than a new cycle. With headline and core inflation still within target, CNB can wait but must avoid sounding dovish.
Euro edges down, while US NFP takes centre stage
The Euro (EUR) trades marginally lower at around 1.1545 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday. The major currency pair edges down as the US Dollar ticks up, while investors shift their focus to the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data release on Friday.
British Pound treads water above 1.3450 with markets awaiting US employment figures
The British Pound (GBP) holds marginal losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, trading at 1.3460 at the time of writing, down from Wednesday's highs at 1.3486.
Japanese Yen: Policy shifts weigh on JPY against US Dollar – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen discusses renewed Japanese Yen (JPY) weakness following recent joint US-Japan FX intervention that briefly pushed USD/JPY below 156.
Yen struggles to hold intervention gains and drifts towards 158.00
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is ticking lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, trimming gains after an exceptional US-Japan coordinated intervention triggered a 4.5% appreciation late last week.
Indian Rupee: Policy pause offers limited support – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay reports that the Reserve Bank of India kept the repo rate at 5.25% for a fourth meeting, maintaining a neutral stance. RBI sees recent inflation overshoot as supply-driven and trimmed its FY2026-2027 inflation forecast while lifting growth to 6.7%.
Czech Koruna: Softer CNB guidance may weigh against euro – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky says July Czech inflation at 1.7% year-on-year should have limited impact on the Czech National Bank (CNB) meeting. He expects rates to stay at 3.75%, with guidance leaning more dovish than markets.
United States Challenger Job Cuts: 33.429K (July) vs previous 45.849K
United States Challenger Job Cuts: 33.429K (July) vs previous 45.849K
Brazilian Real: Cautious BCB easing offers limited support – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish notes that the central bank of the Brazil, Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) cut the Selic rate by 25bp to 14.0% as expected, extending a 100bp easing cycle since March.
Swedish Krona: Riksbank set to hold despite core pressure – Nomura
Nomura strategists highlight that Swedish CPIF ex-energy inflation surprised to the upside in July even as headline CPIF slowed, largely due to government fuel duty cuts and public transport subsidies.
Spain 5-y Bond Auction rose from previous 2.835% to 3.005%
Spain 5-y Bond Auction rose from previous 2.835% to 3.005%