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US Dollar: Fed pricing shifts with softer data – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists note that Friday’s mixed United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report led to a notable repricing of September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) odds, with futures-implied probability of a hike falling to 44%.
US Dollar: Softer labor data supports downside – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu and David Tam note that weaker United States (US) labor data have lowered real-rate expectations and extended the Dollar decline, creating a more supportive environment for risk assets and duration.
Experts agree: The US Dollar rally migh have come to an end
The US Dollar Index (DXY) consolidates losses, trading below 100.00 at the time of writing on Monday, holding near its lowest levels since mid-June.
US Dollar: Softer labour data shifts Fed outlook – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux reports that weaker US employment data and downward revisions have sharply reduced expectations for a September Fed hike, though one move remains priced for December.
Dow futures remain steady amid rising oil, diminishing Fed cut odds
Dow Jones futures are steady around 54,150 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures gain 0.16% to trade near 7,790 and Nasdaq 100 futures gain 0.39%, trading near 29,950.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Decline to accelerate below 99.40
The US Dollar (USD) edges up against its peers on Monday after a vertical decline on Friday. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades marginally higher to near 99.70.
Euro: Weak US jobs lift EUR against US Dollar on Fed repricing – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that the US Dollar (USD) weakened after a softer US jobs report, allowing EUR/USD to briefly reach its highest level in almost two months.
United States Dollar Index advances above 99.50 due to Middle East risks
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is gaining ground after registering modest losses in the previous day and trading around 99.70 during the Asian hours on Monday.
Forecasting the upcoming week: US inflation takes center stage next week
The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell below the 100.00 region after sinking through Friday's session. July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) showed the US economy shedding 23K jobs against forecasts of an 80K gain, with June revised down to 20K, and Average Hourly Earnings slowing to 3.2% on the year.
Dow Jones Industrial Average dodges a hike December still prices
The American labour market contracted in July and the Dow Jones Industrial Average answered with a gain of roughly 65 points, a tenth of a percent, trading near 54,000 into the afternoon.
NY Fed inflation expectations ease modestly in the short term
The New York Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations shows that households’ inflation expectations decreased slightly over the short-term horizon and remained unchanged at the medium and longer-term horizons. One-year inflation expectations eased from 3.7% in June to 3.6% in July
US Dollar: Payrolls-driven consolidation as CPI looms – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists note that the US Dollar (USD) weakened after the disappointing July Payrolls report, but see limited downside against G10 currencies unless softer US inflation further reduces Fed hike expectations.
United States Dollar Index tumbles as NFP shock trims Fed hike bets
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s value against a basket of six currencies, is down 0.36% to 99.58 following a weaker-than-expected US jobs report. The DXY hit 99.41 after the jobs report release, its lowest level since June 15.