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Euro climbs beyond 1.1400 as renewed Iran diplomacy hopes undermine safe-haven USD
The EUR/USD pair builds on a modest bullish gap opening and climbs back above the 1.1400 mark during the Asian session on Monday. The intraday move up is sponsored by a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD), weighed down by renewed optimism over a diplomatic resolution to end a five-month-old US-Iran war.
Japan Corporate Service Price Index (YoY): 3.2% (June) vs previous 3.3%
Japan Corporate Service Price Index (YoY): 3.2% (June) vs previous 3.3%
Japanese Yen gains as oil prices fall after US-Iran strike pause
USD/JPY remains subdued for the second successive day, trading around 163.60 during the Asian hours on Monday.
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7911 vs. 6.7939 previous
On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.7911 compared to Friday's fix of 6.7939.
Australian Dollar gains as Mideast tensions ease, RBA rate expectations rise
AUD/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive trading day, hovering near 0.7000 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) declines alongside a sharp drop in oil prices.
Singapore Dollar: MAS seen on hold with cautious inflation tone – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong expect the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to leave the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (S$NEER) policy unchanged at Monday’s meeting despite a modest rebound in core Consumer Price Index (CPI) to 1.6% year-on-year in June.
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Cross consolidates under 187.00, bulls target 188.00
The EUR/JPY consolidates around 186.00, edges down by 0.06% amid a souring of risk appetite amid the escalation of the US-Iran war, and strengthens safe-haven assets like the Japanese Yen.
South Korean Won: Strong GDP and inflows support Won – Commerzbank
Commerzbank reports that South Korea’s advance Q2 GDP rose 0.6% quarter-on-quarter and 3.7% year-on-year, beating expectations. Robust AI-related semiconductor demand and resilient domestic spending underpin growth. The strong data support prospects of a further 25bp Bank of Korea hike in August.
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions up to £-55.6K from previous £-71.3K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions up to £-55.6K from previous £-71.3K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions: ¥-152.1K vs previous ¥-122.7K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions: ¥-152.1K vs previous ¥-122.7K
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Kiwi tests 0.5800 as bullish momentum fades
The New Zealand Dollar gains over 0.30% against the US Dollar on Friday. The pair is poised to test key resistance levels with the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.5793, slightly below the 0.5800 figure.
Thai Baht: Oil shock and dovish BoT keep THB pressured against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that the Thai Baht (THB) is trading near its weakest level in more than a year against the US Dollar (USD), as volatile oil prices, a firmer USD and higher US yields weigh on the currency.
Euro falls even amid strong Eurozone PMIs
EUR/USD trades lower near the 1.1370 area on Friday, struggling despite stronger-than-expected Eurozone business-activity figures. The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains firmer near 101.50, offering limited support to the pair.

