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Why is the US Dollar vulnerable when the Federal Reserve is expected to deliver a hawkish hold?
The US Dollar (USD) stands at a critical juncture as financial markets prepare for the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) upcoming interest rate announcement.
Dow Jones futures gain ahead of Fed policy decision
Dow Jones futures gain 0.11% to trade around 53,000 during European trading hours on Wednesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures rise 0.16% to trade near 7,480, though Nasdaq 100 futures decline 0.17%, trading near 27,870, respectively.
Equities: Record allocation sustains Dollar exposure – BNY
Geoff Yu at BNY reports that global equity allocations have reached a record share of portfolios, with United States (US) markets dominating both equity and fixed-income holdings.
US Dollar: Long positioning faces FOMC risk – DBS
DBS Bank’s Philip Wee notes that Dollar bulls have built substantial long USD positions ahead of the FOMC, encouraged by Brent’s sharp rebound and expectations of a surprise rate hike by Chairman Kevin Warsh.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Likely remain subdued as Fed’s policy decision awaited
The US Dollar (USD) trades marginally lower in the European trade on Wednesday, reflecting caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement at 18:00 GMT.
US Dollar: Hawkish Fed hold may support USD – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan expects the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to deliver a hawkish hold, with the Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping rates unchanged while stressing elevated inflation risks. He notes softer recent US data but highlights that markets still price some probability of a July hike.
United States Dollar Index (DXY) flat below 101.50 as bulls await FOMC amid Iran risks
The United States Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, is seen consolidating below the 101.50 level during the Asian session as traders await the outcome of a two-day FOMC meeting, due later this Wednesday.
The chip rout is funding the Dow Jones Industrial Average's record chase
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades just short of 52,900 on Tuesday, higher by close to 700 points and 1.3%, roughly 450 points beneath the record it set in the first week of July. Taken alone, that reads as a broad risk rally.
US Dollar Index eases from tops, back to 101.30 ahead of Fed
The Greenback, when tracked by the US Dollar Index (DXY), abandons the area of monthly peaks and recedes toward the 101.30 zone on turnaround Tuesday.
US CB Consumer Confidence Index eases to 90.8 in July
US consumer sentiment loses some momentum in July, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index recedes to 90.8 from June’s 92.2 (revised from 91.2).
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average drops to 15K
Private-sector hiring in the US has further cooled in mid-July. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 15K jobs per week in the four weeks ending July 11.
US Dollar: Fed hike odds and asymmetric risks – DBS
DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee notes that the Dollar is trading on diverging themes versus Developed Market and Asia-ex Japan currencies, with Fed expectations central. Futures are pricing a 38% chance of a surprise rate hike at Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s second FOMC meeting.
Federal Reserve: Close July call keeps Dollar traders data-focused – BNY
BNY strategists John Velis and David Tam expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at the upcoming July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, while stressing it is a close call.