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British Pound: Upside momentum builds against Euro – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note EUR/GBP has continued its pullback after failing at the 0.8610 graphical hurdle linked to the February and March troughs. The cross has slipped below the July lows, reinforcing prevailing downside momentum.
Canadian Dollar: Modest gains against US Dollar - Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret reports the Canadian Dollar (CAD) up 0.2% versus the US Dollar (USD) but underperforming other G10 currencies, with markets still pricing Bank of Canada (BoC) tightening into year-end despite weak labour data.
Australian Dollar : Key support at 0.6935 in focus against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report AUD/USD slipping as the stronger US Dollar weighs on commodity currencies. Short‑term momentum has turned lower, with scope for a test of major support at 0.6935, though a sustained break is seen as unlikely.
United States Existing Home Sales (MoM) above forecasts (3.95M) in September: Actual (3.99M)
United States Existing Home Sales (MoM) above forecasts (3.95M) in September: Actual (3.99M)
United States Existing Home Sales Change (MoM) climbed from previous -2% to 1.5% in September
United States Existing Home Sales Change (MoM) climbed from previous -2% to 1.5% in September
Indian Rupee: RBI defense limits losses against US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale's strategists note that the INR has rallied further, with USD/INR looking to break below the 95 handle as the RBI intensifies its FX defense. The central bank extended FX curbs to GIFT City and broadened use of risk reserves.
Euro: Lower year-end target at 1.13 against US Dollar – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole writes that EUR/USD is moderately undervalued versus short-term fundamentals, reflecting a persistent France-related risk premium that could widen if French bonds sell off further. He sees a challenging backdrop for Euro bulls, expects a possible test of 1.110, and notes that ING has revised its EUR/USD forecast down to 1.13 for the fourth quarter of 2026 and first quarter of 2027.
United States Redbook Index (YoY) came in at 10.4%, above forecasts (0%) in October 9
United States Redbook Index (YoY) came in at 10.4%, above forecasts (0%) in October 9
Australian Dollar: RBA inflation focus shapes outlook – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur explains that the Reserve Bank of Australia is increasingly focused on high inflation, with trimmed-mean inflation above its 2–3% target band for over a year.
Japanese Yen: Weakness may deepen toward 159.05 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/JPY continues to grind higher as wide US‑Japan yield differentials weigh on the Japanese Yen (JPY). Intraday, the pair is expected to hold within 158.20–158.80.
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average drops to 24.75K
Private-sector hiring in the US has gained some pace in late September. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 24.75K jobs per week in the four weeks ending September 26.
Copper: El Niño risks cap African supply growth – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Commodity Compass, authored by Michael Haigh and Jeremy Sellem, highlights how El Niño 2026-2027 could constrain copper output in the African Copperbelt.
Germany Current Account n.s.a. above forecasts (€0B) in August: Actual (€10.3B)
Germany Current Account n.s.a. above forecasts (€0B) in August: Actual (€10.3B)