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Forex Today: Japanese GDP figures and China’s trade results in the limelight
The US Dollar (USD) has started the week on the back foot, rapidly leaving behind Friday’s uptick and refocusing on the downside.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Pair consolidates around the 50-day SMA
USD/CHF trades with a downside bias on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) stays on the defensive, largely due to broad Japanese Yen (JPY) strength. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.8091 after retreating from an intraday high of 0.8110.
US Dollar: CPI outcome to steer Fed path – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) weakened on broad Japanese Yen strength before partially recovering as strong US August payrolls revived expectations for a September Fed hike.
US Dollar: Range-bound support as Fed priced – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes that resilient global equities and an above-consensus US jobs report mean the Dollar should be stronger, but risk appetite is capping gains. He highlights upcoming US CPI and Treasury auctions as key catalysts.
US Dollar: CPI holds key after jobs-driven support – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that stronger US payrolls initially lifted the US Dollar (USD) and US Dollar Index (DXY), but softer wage growth and only modest Fed repricing capped gains.
Dow Jones futures fall as inflationary risks rise
Dow Jones futures are down by 0.32% to trade near 53,270 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures steady near 7,720, while Nasdaq 100 futures advance by 0.31% to trade around 29,660. The US stock market will be closed Monday for the Labor Day holiday.
US Dollar: Inflation data guide blackout repricing – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that strong U.S. payrolls have lifted September Fed hike odds back toward 60%, leaving rate expectations highly data-dependent as the Fed enters its blackout.
US Dollar: Strong payrolls fail to sustain Dollar gains – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes the Dollar strengthened after a stronger-than-expected August US jobs report, with Nonfarm Payrolls and labour participation surprising to the upside while wage growth eased.
US Dollar: Volatility risks around Fed decision – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that the latest US labour market report does not materially alter expectations for a September Fed rate move, leaving August US inflation as the key driver.
United States Dollar Index strengthens above 99.00 as robust US jobs data boosts Fed rate hike bets
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 99.20 in the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The DXY edges higher amid a ramp-up in US rate hike bets.
Fed’s Hammack says policy is not restrictive enough
Cleveland Federal Reserve (Fed) President Beth Hammack said on Friday that the current monetary policy stance is not restrictive, emphasizing that inflation is too high.
Dow Jones Industrial Average falls on a jobs number the president loves
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades just short of 53,400, roughly 325 points or 0.6% lower on Friday, after August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) printed 162K against a 56K forecast at 12:30 GMT and pushed the probability of a September hike above 60%.
United States Dollar Index rises as strong NFP revives Fed hike bets
The United States Dollar Index (DXY) rises some 0.17% on Friday following a stellar Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, with the economy creating nearly three times as many jobs as expected by most economists, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).