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Aussie extends weekly gains as Fed pause bets offset hawkish rhetoric
The Aussie Dollar ended Friday’s session on a positive note, gaining 0.38% and 0.58% weekly as the US Dollar trimmed some of its weekly gains, while US data confirmed investors' expectations that the Federal Reserve would hold rates steady in the October meeting. The AUD/USD trades at 0.6983.
Chinese Yuan: PBoC defends yuan narrative – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s FX team highlights that the People’s Bank of China rejected claims the yuan is undervalued, linking export strength to industrial competitiveness rather than currency manipulation.
Singapore Dollar: Range trading persists against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD remains supported within the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s policy band, with SGD NEER likely between 1.50% and 1.80% above midpoint, implying a 1.279–1.283 range. Short-term price action shows limited upward momentum, with resistance near 1.2835 and revised strong support at 1.2775.
Taiwan Dollar: Trade strength but losses capped against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analysts note Taiwan’s September trade surplus hit a record USD23.6bn, with exports surging 60.9% year-on-year on strong AI-related demand. The Central Bank of the Republic of China may lean more hawkish if inflation’s uptrend persists.
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions: £-97.6K vs previous £-91.1K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions: £-97.6K vs previous £-91.1K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions increased to ¥62.3K from previous ¥55.4K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions increased to ¥62.3K from previous ¥55.4K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 109.5K to 99.1K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 109.5K to 99.1K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions dipped from previous $-142.5K to $-154.1K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions dipped from previous $-142.5K to $-154.1K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions dipped from previous €-63.3K to €-99.3K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions dipped from previous €-63.3K to €-99.3K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions: $-98.6K vs previous $-63.2K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions: $-98.6K vs previous $-63.2K
China: Robust trade and rising prices – DBS
DBS Group Research expects China’s exports to grow 25.7% year-on-year in September, supported by strong electronics demand and improving manufacturing PMIs.
Singapore Dollar: MAS tightening but gains constrained – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that Singapore Dollar (SGD) has held relatively steady despite a firmer US Dollar (USD) and higher Oil prices, with MAS tightening expectations underpinning the S$NEER. USD/SGD trades near recent highs with intact bullish momentum.
Chinese Yuan: PBoC stance and valuation debate guide currency path – MUFG
Halpenny highlights a new PBoC document defending China’s FX policy and rejecting claims that CNY drives its trade surplus, instead pointing to manufacturing competitiveness. He notes BIS REER data showing a 20% fall from the 2022 peak and IMF estimates of 12–20% undervaluation, suggesting CNY is undervalued but only partly explains China’s export strength.