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United States Dollar Index falls to three-week low amid signs of US-Iran war de-escalation
The US Dollar (USD) extends its losing streak for the third trading day on Friday amid signs of de-escalation in the ongoing clash between the United States (US) and Iran.
US Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 215K last week
According to a report from the US Department of Labor (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance shrank to 215K for the week ending July 4.
US Dollar: Constructive outlook as Oil risks build – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note renewed Middle East tensions and higher Oil prices are lifting the US Dollar (USD) and global bond yields.
United States Dollar Index Price Forecast: Flirts with 23.6% Fibo./weekly low below 101.00
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, extends the previous day's pullback from the 101.25-101.30 region and attracts some follow-through sellers on Thursday.
Euro: Hawkish Fed keeps gains contained against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Thu Lan Nguyen at Commerzbank notes that EUR/USD has traded in a narrow range and appears largely unaffected by Iran-related headlines, as the correlation with Oil has weakened.
US Dollar: Supported by higher yields and FOMC stance – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan reports that June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes show policymakers increasingly concerned that US inflation could stay elevated, with some seeing a case for a rate hike.
United States Dollar Index stays pressured near 101.00 as Fed bets/Iran risks limit losses
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, trades with a negative bias for the second straight day, though it remains confined within the previous day's range through the Asian session on Thursday.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ hawkish path supports currency – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) delivered a 25 bps hike to 2.50%, largely priced in, triggering an New Zealand Dollar (NZD) rally before gains were trimmed by Middle East tensions.
US Dollar: Warsh risks skewed to cuts – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke argues that interest rate differentials are again driving the Dollar, with USD reacting strongly to weaker US data as markets reassess new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.
British Pound slumps against US Dollar as risky assets turn fragile
The British Pound (GBP) is down 0.13% to near 1.3340 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Wednesday. The GBP/USD pair faces selling pressure as renewed geopolitical risks have diminished the appeal of riskier assets.
US Dollar Index: Conflict-driven support and rate backdrop – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that renewed Middle East tensions are pressuring stocks and bonds while supporting the US Dollar (USD) and Oil.
US Dollar: FOMC minutes to highlight hawkish debate – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists preview the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes, expecting more insight into the policy debate than provided by Chair Warsh’s press conference.
US Dollar: Fed pricing questioned as disinflation looms – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny argues that June FOMC minutes may already be stale as weaker labour data and lower energy prices challenge the Fed’s hawkish dot plot. He sees OIS pricing as too aggressive, with rate hikes over-priced and a rate cut by March 2027 more likely than another hike.