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WTI Price Forecast: Retakes $72.00; 23.6% Fibo./200-day EMA holds the key for bulls
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – edges higher during the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's retracement slide from the vicinity of a three-week high.
WTI consolidates below $72.00 as traders monitor geopolitical developments
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – steadies during the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's downfall amid mixed messaging from the US and Iran.
US official says it remains committed to resolution with Iran, technical discussions ongoing
A US official signaled that it is still committed to the memorandum of understanding with Iran, even though US President Donald Trump’s declared earlier this week that the framework deal to end the Iran war was “over” after Tehran carried out strikes against vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and again
Brent: Supply recovery meets weak China demand – ING
ING’s Warren Patterson notes that Oil prices fell after the US–Iran Memorandum of Understanding allowed Persian Gulf supply to recover faster than expected, while demand lagged.
Oil: Strait of Hormuz risks keep prices supported – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Oil is back in focus as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz nears a standstill and ceasefire risks rise. iFlow data show energy equities flows stabilizing after June profit-taking, with valuations and under-ownership becoming more attractive.
US Dollar: Fed minutes flag supply-driven inflation risks – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists highlight that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes showed rising concern over inflation risks, even as the United States (US) labor market remains stable.
WTI slips below $74 after recent rally, Middle East tensions limit the downside
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades lower on Thursday and hovers around $73.10 at the time of writing, down 1.95% on the day as investors take profits following two consecutive days of strong gains.
US Dollar Index: Slips despite yield support – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes the US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped from 101.28 to 101 late in the US session, even as the US Treasury 2Y yield rose and crude Oil stayed supported by Middle East tensions.
US Dollar Index: Fed hawks supported by energy spike – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes that higher Oil prices and Gulf tensions have driven a bigger reaction in rates than in FX, with Brent near $80 supporting Fed hawks. The US Dollar (USD) is expected to stay firm versus low-yielders, while carry trades in Emerging Markets (EM) have been unwound.
Oil: Rising geopolitical risks and Russian diesel ban – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil has extended its rally as renewed US-Iran tensions threaten the fragile ceasefire and disrupt flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil: Risk premium returns on Gulf supply concerns – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen argues that recent US policy towards Iran has reversed market expectations of a rapid normalisation in Gulf energy supplies, challenging earlier pricing of an Oil supply glut.
Indian Rupee regains ground despite higher oil prices
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday. The USD/INR pair drops to near 95.40 as the US Dollar ticks lower; however, the outlook of the pair remains bullish as renewed Middle East hostilities have boosted oil prices.
WTI Price Forecast: Fails near 23.6% Fibo. amid mixed technical setup; hovers near $74.00
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – struggles to capitalize on a two-day rally, reaching an over two-week high touched the previous day, and trades with a negative bias during the Asian session on Thursday.