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Neither a breakout nor a reversal: What OCBC, Commerzbank and ING expect from the US Dollar
Three banks agree the US Dollar (USD) is on solid footing for now, but none expects a decisive breakout or a sharp reversal soon. OCBC, Commerzbank and ING credit the Greenback's support to higher Oil prices, firm US yields and sticky Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening expectations.
Australian Dollar edges higher amid softer US Dollar, hawkish RBA
AUD/USD edges higher on Tuesday as a pullback in US Treasury yields weighs on the US Dollar (USD), pulling it away from recent highs. Meanwhile, hawkish signals from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) provide underlying support to the Australian Dollar (AUD).
US Dollar: Supported but capped by CPI risks – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong argue the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by higher Oil prices, firm US yields and resilient Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations, but not yet breaking out of its recent range. They note markets are focused on energy, US inflation and earnings, with a decisive USD move likely requiring a meaningful upside surprise in core CPI. The base case is for a supported but range-bound USD.
Australian Dollar remains weak despite hawkish RBA minutes
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades lower against its major currency peers, except the US Dollar (USD), during the European trading session on Tuesday. The antipodean is under pressure even as Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes of the September policy meeting remains hawkish.
US Dollar: Higher rate expectations support gains - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen discusses how the US Dollar (USD) reacted to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s move away from traditional forward guidance.
US Dollar: Overbought signals but no clear catalyst – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that several indicators show the Dollar rally is stretched, with the currency overvalued against most G10 peers and positioning extended. However, they argue that without a clear macro or market catalyst, an imminent reversal is unlikely, as sticky Fed tightening expectations and global bond weakness continue to support demand for the Dollar.
Dow Jones futures gain as defensive and blue-chip stocks show relative strength
Dow Jones futures rise by 0.61% to trade near 52,430 during European hours on Tuesday. S&P 500 futures remain steady around 7,850, while Nasdaq 100 futures fall 0.56% to near 30,730.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Likely extend advance to near 103.00
The US Dollar (USD) trades lower against its major currency peers on Tuesday due to lower United States (US) Treasury Yields.
United States Dollar Index eases from 18-month peak; slips below 102.50
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, drifts lower during the Asians session on Tuesday, eroding a part of the previous day's strong gains to a fresh high since April 2025.
Fed’s Hammack sees thriving economy, backs further rate hikes
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said that further tightening is needed but reiterated earlier remarks that she is open “to adjusting the pace of rate increases.”
Dow Jones Industrial Average edges higher with no memory chips to sell
Micron fell about 4% on Monday and the NASDAQ 100 fell with it, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), which holds no memory-chip maker, finished higher. The S&P 500, which holds Micron and all 30 Dow members, finished slightly lower.
Fed’s Hammack sees higher neutral rate, urges more policy restraint
Cleveland Federal Reserve (Fed) President Beth Hammack said on Monday that the neutral rate for the Fed funds “is likely higher,” that she is hearing signs of a problem with inflation expectations and that the question for the Fed is “how fast to make policy more restrictive.”
Fed’s Hammack calls for higher rates as inflation pressures broaden
Cleveland Federal Reserve (Fed) President Beth Hammack said Monday that interest rates need to be higher, that inflation remains “too high”, and that more economic tightness is needed.