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Euro struggles as French fiscal risks, strong US Dollar weigh ahead of Fed Minutes
EUR/USD extends its decline on Wednesday as the Euro (EUR) remains under broad selling pressure, while the US Dollar (USD) strengthens alongside surging US Treasury yields. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1195, down 0.57% on the day, hovering near its lowest level in 17 months.
US Treasury yields hit 24-year highs as 10-year tests 5.35%
US Treasury yields soar on Wednesday, with the 10- and 30-year yields reaching 24-year highs of 5.35% and 5.724%, respectively, suggesting that investors are demanding a higher premium on US debt amid inflation and fiscal policy concerns.
Swiss Franc: Safe haven status versus funding role – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley highlights Switzerland’s strong current account and budget positions, credible central bank and governance, and high liquidity as underpinning the Swiss Franc’s safe haven status.
Turkey Treasury Cash Balance below expectations (0B) in September: Actual (-467.2B)
Turkey Treasury Cash Balance below expectations (0B) in September: Actual (-467.2B)
United States EIA Gasoline Stocks Change above forecasts (0M) in October 2: Actual (0.382M)
United States EIA Gasoline Stocks Change above forecasts (0M) in October 2: Actual (0.382M)
Australian Dollar declines as RBA hike bets fade, US yields climb ahead Fed Minutes
AUD/USD falls 0.44% on Wednesday and trades around 0.6950 at the time of writing, snapping a three-day winning streak.
Poland NBP Base rate meets forecasts (3.75%)
Poland NBP Base rate meets forecasts (3.75%)
Canadian Dollar: Political risks weigh against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note USD/CAD around 1.4227 with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) flat versus the US Dollar (USD) but outperforming most G10 peers. CAD retains much of Tuesday’s 0.4% gain, helped by a stronger August trade balance.
Euro: Recovery holds as currency softens – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that the Eurozone recovery remains intact even as the Euro (EUR) weakens. Manufacturing PMIs and business surveys in Germany and across Europe point to strengthening demand, while fiscal stress and a softer European Central Bank (ECB) stance weigh on the currency.
Japanese Yen: Funding appeal eroded by BoJ hikes – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley reviews the sharp USD/JPY declines in July and September, initially driven by joint Ministry of Finance (MoF)–US Treasury intervention and later without official action. The report notes that the Bank of Japan’s gradual rate hikes are eroding the Japanese Yen’s appeal as a funding currency for carry trades, even though recent price action has reduced urgency around finding alternatives.
Hungarian Forint: HUF strength and euro adoption outlook – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes EUR/HUF rebounded from its 50-day moving average after a downside surprise in Hungarian CPI. Inflation remains below the MNB target, with the stronger Forint helping to curb price pressures and keep underlying trends subdued.
Swedish Krona: Riksbank tightening supports SEK against US Dollar - BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes USD/SEK is firmer on broad US Dollar (USD) strength, while Sweden’s September Consumer Price Index (CPI) data were mixed.
Indian Rupee: Gradual tightening path after RBI hike – ING
ING’s Deepali Bhargava notes that the Reserve Bank of India delivered its first rate hike in four years, raising the policy Repo rate to 5.50% and shifting to calibrated tightening.