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Forex Today: US Dollar tumbles after divided Fed hold, Oil surges on Middle East escalation
The US Dollar (USD) falls sharply during the American session on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%–3.75% in a divided 9–3 vote.
Dow Jones Industrial Average gets its rate relief and cannot hold it
The Federal Reserve (Fed) held its target range at 3.50% to 3.75% at 18:00 GMT on a 9-3 vote, with three voting members preferring an immediate quarter-point increase.
The US Dollar Index discovers that a vote record is not a reaction function
The Federal Reserve held its target range at 3.50% to 3.75% at 18:00 GMT on a 9-3 vote, with three voting members preferring an immediate quarter-point increase. Previews had that configuration as the hawkish tail, the outcome that would bid the Dollar and punish risk assets.
US Dollar: FOMC risk guides downside scope – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the US Dollar (USD) is narrowly mixed to softer ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), with swaps pricing a modest chance of a hike but the bank seeing that risk as much lower.
Dow Jones Industrial Average pulls back hours before the Fed's answer
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades just above 51,800 on Wednesday afternoon, down roughly 900 points and 1.7% from Tuesday's close.
US Dollar: Hedging pressure builds on USD – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that USD exposure is elevated across global portfolios, with strong buying in both equities and bonds generating sizeable rebalancing signals. The bank recommends increasing FX hedges instead of selling U.S. assets, as hedge ratios remain low and Dollar allocations high.
Federal Reserve: Hawkish hold may offer US Dollar limited support – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that markets face a genuinely live Federal Reserve (Fed) decision, with futures implying about a 35% chance of a hike and a hold still the base case.
Fed's Warsh: We will deliver the 2% target
At the post-meeting press conference, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh explains why policymakers decided to keep interest rates unchanged after the July meeting and takes questions from reporters about the decision.
US Dollar: Stretched positioning caps gains against peers – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes the US Dollar (USD) enters the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) with strong recent demand but stretched positioning, as cross-border buying and late-July spot demand remain supportive.
Federal Reserve: Hawkish hold could restore Dollar support – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad expects the Federal Open Market Committee to keep the federal funds target range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% for a fifth consecutive meeting.
US Dollar: Fed hold to test recent resilience – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole and Frantisek Taborsky expect the Federal Reserve to keep rates unchanged, with two dissenters possibly voting for a hike, limiting downside in front-end USD rates.
Why is the US Dollar vulnerable when the Federal Reserve is expected to deliver a hawkish hold?
The US Dollar (USD) stands at a critical juncture as financial markets prepare for the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) upcoming interest rate announcement.
Dow Jones futures gain ahead of Fed policy decision
Dow Jones futures gain 0.11% to trade around 53,000 during European trading hours on Wednesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures rise 0.16% to trade near 7,480, though Nasdaq 100 futures decline 0.17%, trading near 27,870, respectively.