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The Dollar Index takes its orders from the Treasury
A currency whose central bank has held five times, prices no cut this year and still carries an increase by December should not be sitting at the bottom of its three-month range.
The Treasury bids and offers the Dow Jones Industrial Average
The same department that spent the morning telling the bond market it has roughly 950 billion Dollars available to hold long yields down will spend the afternoon announcing sanctions designed to tighten the oil chokepoint that drove those yields up.
British Pound: Sentiment supports further gains against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report that the British Pound (GBP) is flat versus the Dollar but outperforming G10 peers despite broad USD strength. With data light, attention turns to PM Burnham’s visit to Kiev and the October 28 budget.
US President Trump announces tariffs on Canadian autos, trucks and steel
United States (US) President Donald Trump has announced a sharp escalation in the trade fight with Canada, declaring that beginning January 1, 2027, the United States will raise tariffs to 50% on all cars, trucks, automotive parts, and steel imported from its northern neighbor.
US Dollar: Weakness may stabilize as US growth advantage persists - BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the Treasury’s buyback announcement initially pushed longer-term Treasuries lower, weakened the Dollar and boosted Gold. He argues the USD slump should stabilize this week, with the US growth advantage offsetting fiscal concerns.
Reuters: US Treasury's Scott Bessent to announce more sanctions on Iran
The United States (US) Treasury is expected to broaden the scope of secondary sanctions it can impose on entities and countries that maintain business ties with Iran, reports Reuters.
US Dollar: Policy risks keep downside bias – ING
ING’s Chris Turner, Francesco Pesole and Frantisek Taborsky note the Dollar starts the week soft as markets await US policy signals from the White House.
US Dollar: Debasement narrative caps upside – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that the US Treasury’s expanded long-end buyback programme has revived market fears of Dollar debasement, driving a weaker USD, stronger Gold and higher breakevens.
US Dollar: Event-driven risks shape debasement narrative – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes the US Dollar is broadly stable as investors focus on US Treasury actions to contain long-term yields and renewed talk of Dollar debasement.
US Dollar: Warsh speech shapes Dollar and Treasuries – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that markets will focus on Kevin Warsh’s first Jackson Hole appearance, with July PCE data seen as a precursor for U.S. rates and Dollar moves.
Dow Jones futures slip as US Treasury pledges buybacks, Middle East tensions persist
Dow Jones futures remain subdued around 53,350 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline by 0.17%, to trade near 7,680, and Nasdaq 100 futures fall by 0.65% to trade around 29,200.
US Dollar: Momentum fades as yields stay high – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes that the Dollar has extended its recent soft patch even as US Q3 GDP forecasts are upgraded to 2.5% annualized from 2.0%. Elevated fiscal deficits and long-end Treasury yields are weighing on sentiment.
United States Dollar Index softens below 99.00 on US fiscal concerns
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 98.80 in the Asian trading hours on Monday.