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1.1700: Euro hits three-month highs as US Bond buyback plan crushes the US Dollar
The Euro (EUR) extends gains against an ailing US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, as the US Treasury’s plan to boost buybacks of long-term Government Bonds sent the Greenback tumbling across the board.
Euro holds steady against British Pound as ECB, BoE rate hike bets offset each other
EUR/GBP trades around 0.8580 on Thursday at the time of writing, showing little change on the day.
United States: Slow growth but data understate jobs – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economist Bernd Weidensteiner analyzes recent U.S. employment trends, noting that Nonfarm Payroll growth has slowed sharply, with average monthly gains of just 32,000 over the past year.
Indian Rupee: RBI minutes temper rate-cut hopes – DBS
Radhika Rao at DBS Group Research highlights that Reserve Bank of India (RBI) minutes from the early-August meeting were more cautious than Governor Sanjay Malhotra’s public messaging.
Federal Reserve: AI, inflation risks and limited FX impact – MUFG
MUFG’s research team uses AI-driven textual analysis to judge the July FOMC minutes as slightly more hawkish, with broader support for a rate hike and concern over inflation expectations.
Euro: Upside bias targets 1.1725 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that EUR/USD has broken to a three‑month high near 1.1680 as Dollar weakness and strong momentum underpin the pair.
Eurozone Construction Output s.a (MoM) down to -1.3% in June from previous 0.4%
Eurozone Construction Output s.a (MoM) down to -1.3% in June from previous 0.4%
Eurozone Construction Output w.d.a (YoY) fell from previous 1.2% to -0.7% in June
Eurozone Construction Output w.d.a (YoY) fell from previous 1.2% to -0.7% in June
Copper: Tight physical market supports prices – ING
ING’s commodities team, led by Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson, reports Copper market tightness has eased slightly as LME inventories rose by more than 55kt over two sessions, narrowing the cash-to-three-month backwardation.
Indian Rupee: RBI seen comfortably on hold – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao and Moses Lim note India’s economy remains supported by strong domestic demand and exports, with growth projected at 6.7% in fiscal 2026-2027 versus 8% previously. Inflation is forecast at 5%, within the RBI’s 2-6% band, allowing policy to stay on hold at 5.25%.
Federal Reserve: Divided hawks shape late-2026 hike risks – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Jan Groen highlights a divided Federal Reserve, with a larger ‘keep-on-hold’ camp waiting for core PCE inflation data in 2H 2026 before backing rate hikes.
Hong Kong SAR Consumer Price Index in line with forecasts (1.7%) in July
Hong Kong SAR Consumer Price Index in line with forecasts (1.7%) in July
Hong Kong SAR Unemployment rate remains at 3.7% in July
Hong Kong SAR Unemployment rate remains at 3.7% in July