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US Treasury yields extend rebound as Services PMI beats estimates
US Treasury yields continue their recovery following the announcement of a bond buyback by the US Department of the Treasury, while data reveal that business activity remains solid despite a slowdown in manufacturing.
Forecasting the upcoming week: Warsh's Jackson Hole debut and US inflation test a soft US Dollar
The US Dollar Index (DXY) ended the week near even with Thursday, holding near 98.80. Like Thursday, DXY traded down to the 98.50s before recovering later in the session.
Higher yields stop paying the Dollar Index
The Dollar Index trades just beneath 99.00 and unchanged on the session, with the entire day fitting inside 35 pips between the 98.50 area and a high that stopped a shade short of the handle.
Swiss Franc struggles as US Dollar steadies, SNB keeps negative rates on table
USD/CHF holds firm on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) trims its intraday losses. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.8013 after slipping to 0.7949 on the previous day, its lowest level since June 17.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average buys its own bond problem
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades roughly 430 points higher at just above 53,200, taking back the larger part of a Thursday decline that ran close to 690 points.
US Dollar: Jackson Hole volatility over credibility – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists argue that Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech will focus on structural themes such as productivity, AI-driven growth and Federal Reserve (Fed) regime change.
Euro pares gains against US Dollar but eyes fourth weekly advance
EUR/USD reverses its earlier gains on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) steadies after retesting the three-month low touched the previous day. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1677, easing from an intraday high of 1.1711, its highest level since May 14.
US Dollar: Bearish regime reinforced by bull flattener – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists argue that the United States (US) Treasury buyback announcement has reinforced bearish momentum for the Dollar.
Experts agree: Weak Dollar backs near-term upside in EUR/USD
The Euro (EUR) trades 0.21% higher at around 1.1710 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday, the highest level seen in over three months.
US Dollar: Yield management weighs on currency – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) is weaker against all major currencies as longer-term US Treasury yields edge lower following buyback plans. Haddad argues expanded buybacks and fiscal messaging may cap long-end yields but at a credibility cost for the USD.
US Dollar broadly consolidates as analysts cast doubts over long-term impact of US Treasury buyback
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is broadly consolidating near the 99.00 level as investors process the US Treasury's expanded long-end bond buyback and a modest rebound in Treasury yields.
US Dollar: Limited upside as fiscal plans questioned – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that the US Dollar has weakened as investors focus on potential US Treasury measures to stem the decline in Treasury yields, while Japanese inflation data supports expectations for a 25bp BoJ rate hike in September.
US Dollar: Softer bias with pro-risk flows – ING
ING’s Chris Turner, Francesco Pesole and Frantisek Taborsky argue that recent US Treasury buy-backs are primarily a signalling tool against high yields, pointing to a softer Dollar in a risk-friendly environment.