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The Australian Dollar clears a big figure on an intervention it will come to regret
AUD/USD trades above 0.7000, up 1.06% and roughly 85 pips clear of a session low set just below 0.6950 in the early European hours. The advance cut through the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sitting at 0.7000, a level the pair has been rejected at repeatedly since June.
South Korea Industrial Output Growth above expectations (3%) in June: Actual (6.4%)
South Korea Industrial Output Growth above expectations (3%) in June: Actual (6.4%)
South Korea Service Sector Output declined to 0.7% in June from previous 1.3%
South Korea Service Sector Output declined to 0.7% in June from previous 1.3%
South Korea Industrial Output (YoY) above forecasts (2.5%) in June: Actual (5.8%)
South Korea Industrial Output (YoY) above forecasts (2.5%) in June: Actual (5.8%)
The Japanese Yen gets its ambush, and the Bank of Japan gets overnight to justify it
USD/JPY trades just above 159.50, down 2.31% and more than five Yen below a high set just short of 164.00.
British Pound Sterling rallies on a hawkish vote the Bank of England immediately talked down
The Bank of England held Bank Rate at 3.75% for a fifth straight meeting on Thursday, and the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) got there on a 6-3 vote, with three members backing an immediate quarter-point increase against a consensus that had looked for 7-2.
New Zealand ANZ – Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence: 99.3 (July) vs 91.3
New Zealand ANZ – Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence: 99.3 (July) vs 91.3
USD/CHF Price Forecast: 50-day SMA guards bullish structure
The USD/CHF retreats for the second straight day, down more than 1% amid growing speculation of an intervention in the FX markets, which boosted the Japanese Yen. The pair fell to a 10-day low of 0.8039, slightly above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.8027.
Ueda Speech: BoJ Governor discusses policy outlook after the expected interest rate hold
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda is addressing the press conference, explaining the reason behind leaving the key interest rate unchanged at 1.00% in the July policy meeting.
Forex Today: US Dollar extends sell-off after weak US growth, Yen surges on suspected intervention
The US Dollar (USD) falls sharply during the American session on Thursday after United States economic growth missed expectations and underlying inflation moderated.
China: Incremental support and trade risks – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Senior Asia Economist Alex Loo assesses the July Politburo meeting, noting no major new stimulus despite acknowledged growth challenges. The focus is on fiscal execution, accelerating spending and bond use to support the Six Networks infrastructure program.
Oil: Key driver of UK inflation scenarios – Rabobank
RaboResearch highlights Oil as the dominant input for UK monetary policy. The Bank of England’s central forecast assumes Oil prices fall from $76 to around $71, with inflation peaking near 3.2%, but Brent already trades above $90.
Chinese Yuan: Gradual gains versus US Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank FX & Commodity Analyst Volkmar Baur argues that China’s large trade surplus, driven increasingly by green technology exports, is supporting a stronger Chinese Yuan.