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Brazilian Real: Narrowing polls support BRL against US Dollar– ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes USD/BRL is drifting towards 5.05/5.07 as election polls show challenger Flavio Bolsonaro overtaking President Lula in a run-off, with prediction markets still favoring Lula but by a shrinking margin.
Poland NBP Base rate in line with expectations (3.75%)
Poland NBP Base rate in line with expectations (3.75%)
Canadian Dollar: Further gains seen against US Dollar - Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret describe the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as steady despite renewed US–Canada trade tensions and targeted import bans. They highlight improving CAD fundamentals and a lower fair value estimate for USD/CAD near 1.3736.
Silver price rebounds as US Dollar weakness clashes with rising rate expectations
Silver (XAG/USD) rebounds on Wednesday and trades around $67.50 at the time of writing, up 2.64% on the day.
Euro benefits from broad US Dollar weakness ahead of ECB rate decision
EUR/USD trades on the front foot on Wednesday as broad US Dollar (USD) weakness, led by a sharp rally in the Japanese Yen (JPY), supports the pair. At the time of writing, EUR/USD trades around 1.1647, up 0.20% on the day.
Why is the Japanese Yen surging when no one is intervening this time?
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to build upward momentum, pushing USD/JPY down to 152.88 before consolidating around 153.26 as markets fully price in a 25-basis-point rate hike from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in September.
Indian Rupee: Inflation risks broadening – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economist Kunal Kundu expects India’s August Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation to rise to around 4.8% year-on-year from 4.4% in July, the highest reading under the new CPI series.
Japanese Yen: Intervention risk and JGB appeal – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes USD/JPY slipping back below 153 as markets heed U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s warning on testing Japanese Yen intervention. The report stresses that a sustained move depends on a broader Bank of Japan tightening cycle.
United States Redbook Index (YoY) fell from previous 9.6% to 8.3% in September 4
United States Redbook Index (YoY) fell from previous 9.6% to 8.3% in September 4
US Dollar: Soft despite supportive fundamentals – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes the Dollar has been unexpectedly soft despite higher energy prices and firm short-dated US rates ahead of the US August CPI and a likely 25bp Fed hike.
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 12K
Private-sector hiring in the US has gained some pace in late August. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 12K jobs per week in the four weeks ending August 22.
Swiss National Bank: Policy rate seen on prolonged hold – Nomura
Nomura’s Anderson, Buckley and Szczepaniak expect the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to keep its 0.00% policy rate unchanged for the foreseeable future, with inflation below 1% and the neutral rate estimated at around 0%.
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 12K (August 15) vs 11.75K
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 12K (August 15) vs 11.75K