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Euro holds steady as US Dollar struggles for traction
EUR/USD trades virtually flat near 1.1623 during American trading hours on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to hold its earlier gains, helping the Euro (EUR) recover from its intraday low.
European Central Bank: Clients see higher peak and later cuts – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Mark Wall and Michael Kirker report that survey respondents expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to continue hiking, with a strong bias toward another move in September and a terminal rate between 2.50% and 3.00%.
US Dollar: Crude rally and CPI risks shape path – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Brent Oil’s surge toward $100 is pressuring stocks and bonds while giving the Dollar a modest lift. However, he stresses that Friday’s US August Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be decisive for the Federal Reserve’s September 16 meeting.
Canadian Dollar: Tariffs boost role as funding currency – TD Securities
TD Securities argues Canadian Dollar (CAD) is set to gain prominence as a global carry funding currency, with its carry/vol profile already comparable to Japanese Yen (JPY).
Gold: Fed inflation focus and volatility risk – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes Gold has stabilised around USD 4,400 per ounce, with markets now focused on upcoming US inflation data as the key driver for the Federal Reserve’s September decision.
155.00: Why the Japanese Yen just broke through the level that could define a new range
USD/JPY has suffered a sharp technical breakdown below the key 155.00 psychological threshold, extending losses toward 153.00 amid thin holiday liquidity, unwinding carry trade positions, and renewed political focus on Japan's monetary framework.
British Pound: Sterling faces fiscal and BoE risks – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses how United Kingdom (UK) Chancellor Healey’s pro-growth rhetoric and commitment to fiscal rules have left questions over funding, with EUR/GBP still range-bound.
Euro: Downside risks against US Dollar into ECB and Fed – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that stronger second-quarter Eurozone growth and resilience to geopolitical and commodity shocks have kept the Euro (EUR) relatively expensive.
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Oversold conditions help buyers regain ground
GBP/JPY rebounds on Tuesday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) loses momentum following its sharp rise since the start of the month. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 208.90 after briefly falling to 207.10, its lowest level since December 2025.
Oil: Supply shocks lift price risks – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that energy risk dominates markets as Brent crude is expected to trade sustainably above $100, with Saudi facility disruptions and constrained Hormuz shipments tightening supply.
Canadian Dollar eases from highs as risk aversion buoys the US Dollar
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is giving back previous daily gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, as the risk-off mood amid escalating tensions in the Middle East offsets the positive impact of higher Crude prices on the commodity-sensitive Loonie.
Australian Dollar: RBA inflation focus underpins carry – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes AUD/USD is holding above 0.7200 as Australian sentiment softens but inflation keeps the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on alert.
Gold trades lower despite weaker US Dollar as Fed hike bets weigh
Gold (XAU/USD) remains on the back foot during American trading hours on Tuesday, even as the US Dollar (USD) remains on the defensive. Rising Oil prices and expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike weigh on the precious metal.