Market News
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British Pound Sterling has nothing to say in front of two central banks
The Pound trades near 1.3300 in the New York morning, effectively flat on a session that has run barely 30 pips between a floor a shade above 1.3250 and a ceiling fractionally above the 1.3300 handle.
British Pound: Bearish reversal extends before BoE – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report GBP/USD is extending its bearish reversal toward early-July levels as markets scale back Bank of England (BoE) tightening expectations. September pricing has been cut and cumulative hikes by December reduced.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD sits out the panic it was built for
Gold trades near $4,020 in the Tuesday New York morning, down roughly 1.4% on a session that started near $4,075 and never built a bid.
Australian Dollar: RBA keeps hike option alive – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock signaled a possible rate hike at the August 10–11 meeting, stressing inflation is still too high and productivity weak.
Canadian Dollar benefits from softer US Dollar despite lower Oil prices
USD/CAD trades near 1.4105 on Tuesday at the time of writing, down 0.14% on the day, though the pair remains close to its recent highs as traders refrain from taking aggressive positions ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Federal Reserve: Knife-edge policy risks surprise – ING
ING’s Padhraic Garvey expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to leave rates unchanged at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with odds seen around 60:40 for no move.
Euro holds near recent lows as Fed interest rate decision looms
EUR/USD struggles for direction on Tuesday as traders avoid taking directional positions ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate decision on Wednesday while closely monitoring US-Iran developments.
Euro: Pressured by softer ECB expectations – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight a softer Euro (EUR), with EUR/USD drifting toward the mid-1.13s and levels last seen in May 2025.
US CB Consumer Confidence Index eases to 90.8 in July
US consumer sentiment loses some momentum in July, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index recedes to 90.8 from June’s 92.2 (revised from 91.2).
Why hot Australian inflation could reignite the Reserve Bank of Australia hike debate
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is balancing stickier-than-expected domestic inflation against broader global market volatility.
United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index below forecasts (10) in July: Actual (5)
United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index below forecasts (10) in July: Actual (5)
Swiss Franc: Weak performance tied to carry and Gold – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists argue that the Swiss Franc’s (CHF) underperformance since the February 2026 Iran shock reflects both low-yield carry dynamics and sensitivity to Gold prices.
Australian Dollar: RBA pause risk weighs on Aussie – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that Australian Dollar (AUD) is underperforming after Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock balanced a hawkish bias with a message of patience, noting easing domestic demand and labour conditions.