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Oil: Brent retraces gains on fragile ceasefire – Rabobank
Rabobank strategist Molly Schwartz notes that Brent Oil traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains constrained despite a nominal ceasefire between the US and Iran. War insurance costs have risen sharply and shipowners are being advised to pause Hormuz voyages.
British Pound: Upside risk toward resistance against US Dollar – UOB
According to UOB’s Quek Ser Leang, GBP/USD’s sharp rebound has left scope to test major resistance at 1.3445, though a clear break is seen as unlikely in the near term. Short-term support lies at 1.3390 and 1.3360.
United States Dollar Index extends losses as US and Iran attempt to resume talks
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading lower for the third consecutive day on Friday.
Forex Today: US Dollar extends correction as US-Iran conflict remains under spotlight
Here is what you need to know on Friday, July 10:
Euro: Narrow path for sustained strength against US Dollar – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole writes that Middle East tensions have modestly re-tightened EUR/USD short-term swap rate differentials by around 10bp, though the spread remains wider than pre-war levels.
Austria Industrial Production (YoY) climbed from previous 0.6% to 0.7% in May
Austria Industrial Production (YoY) climbed from previous 0.6% to 0.7% in May
Equities: Tech and chips drive relief rally – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists say a strong semiconductor rally and lower oil prices helped lift global equities. The S&P 500 rebounded as investors rotated from defensive sectors into growth and cyclical stocks, while gains in Micron and SK Hynix reinforced confidence in the AI investment cycle.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Gathers strength above 0.5750, but remains below key technical resistance
The NZD/USD pair trades in positive territory around 0.5775 during the early European session on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) gathers strength to its strongest level in three weeks against the US Dollar (USD) on a hawkish rate hike from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ).
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rises as oil prices correct, US Dollar faces pressure
Silver price (XAG/USD) trades 0.4% higher to near $60.22 during the European trading session on Friday. The white metal gains as the US Dollar (USD) continues to remain under pressure amid hopes that the restart of the war between the United States (US) and Iran won’t long last.
France Inflation ex-tobacco (MoM) dipped from previous 0.1%Â to -0.3% in June
France Inflation ex-tobacco (MoM) dipped from previous 0.1%Â to -0.3% in June
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) in line with forecasts (-0.3%) in June
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) in line with forecasts (-0.3%) in June
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY) meets expectations (2%) in June
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY) meets expectations (2%) in June
Indian Rupee: Inflation uptick with monsoon support – DBS
DBS economist Radhika Rao expects India’s June CPI inflation to edge up to 4.1% YoY from 3.9%, driven by food normalisation and fuel-cost pass-through.

