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Cập nhật các tin tức, dữ liệu và phân tích quan trọng tác động đến forex và thị trường tài chính toàn cầu.
Canada: Growth outpaces forecasts – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economists Abbey Xu and Nathan Janzen note that Canadian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose 0.3% in May, with an advance estimate of 0.2% for June, indicating a solid second-quarter rebound after winter stagnation.
United States: Broad-based Q2 GDP strength beyond AI – TD Securities
TD Securities economists Eli Nir and Oscar Munoz highlight that Q2 United States (US) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth slowed to 1.5% q/q AR, but underlying private domestic final purchases accelerated to 3.9%.
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations in line with forecasts (4.2%) in July
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations in line with forecasts (4.2%) in July
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index above expectations (54) in July: Actual (55.4)
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index above expectations (54) in July: Actual (55.4)
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index above expectations (54) in July: Actual (55.2)
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index above expectations (54) in July: Actual (55.2)
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation in line with forecasts (3.3%) in July
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation in line with forecasts (3.3%) in July
Aluminium: Tightness points to higher prices – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke highlights that China’s July trade data will be key for base metals, especially Aluminium. Chinese Aluminium output in H1 exceeded the official cap, suggesting production may ease later this year.
United States Chicago PMI registered at 57.6 above expectations (56) in July
United States Chicago PMI registered at 57.6 above expectations (56) in July
Japanese Yen: Intervention risk and hawkish BoJ support Yen – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that USD/JPY briefly fell about five big figures to 158.00 on suspected Japanese intervention before rebounding near 161.00 and then dropping again.
India: RBI hold expectations shape policy outlook – ING
ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song expect the Reserve Bank of India to keep the repo rate at 5.25% this week. They note that while June headline inflation rose on higher fuel prices, core inflation remains below target.
Euro slips back below 1.1500 as US Dollar recovers
The Euro (EUR) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as short-covering in the Greenback following the previous day’s sharp sell-off pushes EUR/USD back below 1.1500. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1488, easing from the six-week high of 1.1537 touched on Thursday.
China: Policy support balances weak PMIs – UOB
UOB economist Ho Woei Chen highlights that China’s July CFLP PMIs slipped into contraction, with both manufacturing and non-manufacturing gauges signaling broad-based weakness in activity. The report notes particularly soft industrial output and services, while construction also declined.
Canadian Dollar shrugs off upbeat GDP as US Dollar stages a comeback
USD/CAD trades around 1.4045 on Friday at the time of writing, recovering from a two-week low hit on Thursday at 1.3991.