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Swiss National Bank: Rates seen on prolonged hold – Commerzbank
Michael Pfister of Commerzbank argues that subdued imported inflation and low exchange rate pass-through give the Swiss National Bank (SNB) little reason to tighten policy.
Singapore Dollar: Range guidance around NEER band – UOB
UOB’s SGD NEER model shows the index at 1.68% above the midpoint of the policy band, after ending the previous session 171 basis points above it. The model is expected to remain between 1.40% and 1.90% above the midpoint today, implying a USD/SGD trading range of 1.2898–1.2963.
Trump vows fresh strikes on Iran after missiles targeting US forces are intercepted
According to Reuters, United States (US) President Donald Trump said in a phone interview with Fox News on Wednesday that the US would carry out further strikes against Iran in response to attacks targeting US positions in Jordan.
Canadian Dollar strengthens modestly against US Dollar ahead of Fed decision
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) modestly outperforms the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, drawing support from a rebound in Oil prices as the war in the Middle East intensifies again following a brief calm. At the time of writing, USD/CAD trades around 1.4093, trapped within a week-old range.
Oil: Middle East tensions revive inflation channel – BNY
BNY reports that renewed Iranian–U.S. hostilities lifted Brent above 3%, reviving the inflation channel but remaining secondary to Fed and AI valuation drivers.
Japanese Yen: Domestic investment shift could support the Yen – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) has hired active domestic bond managers for the first time in five years to improve expertise and diversification amid volatile JGB markets. The fund’s domestic bond portfolio has suffered losses despite strong overall returns.
Copper: Speculative longs rise on tight supply – ING
ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey highlight that speculative net long positions in LME Copper increased notably in the latest COTR data, supported by tight supply and low inventories.
WTI rebounds sharply on fears of renewed escalation in US-Iran war
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on NYMEX trades 6% higher on the day, slightly above $83.00 during the European trading session on Wednesday.
US Dollar: Stretched positioning caps gains against peers – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes the US Dollar (USD) enters the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) with strong recent demand but stretched positioning, as cross-border buying and late-July spot demand remain supportive.
British Pound consolidates against Japanese Yen ahead of central bank decisions
GBP/JPY extends its subdued price action on Wednesday, forming a series of small-bodied candlesticks after briefly climbing above 219 earlier this month, its highest level since December 2007. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 217.50.
Australian Dollar: Softer CPI keeps RBA on hold – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists note that Australia’s Q2 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and June headline inflation came in below expectations, easing pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
British Pound languishes below 1.3300 heading into Fed and BoE decisions
The British Pound (GBP) has given away previous gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday and remains practically flat in the daily chart, trading below 1.3300 and on track to complete a nearly 1.20% decline over the last two weeks.
Federal Reserve: Hawkish hold could restore Dollar support – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad expects the Federal Open Market Committee to keep the federal funds target range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% for a fifth consecutive meeting.