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Cập nhật các tin tức, dữ liệu và phân tích quan trọng tác động đến forex và thị trường tài chính toàn cầu.
South Korean Won: Strong GDP and inflows support Won – Commerzbank
Commerzbank reports that South Korea’s advance Q2 GDP rose 0.6% quarter-on-quarter and 3.7% year-on-year, beating expectations. Robust AI-related semiconductor demand and resilient domestic spending underpin growth. The strong data support prospects of a further 25bp Bank of Korea hike in August.
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions up to £-55.6K from previous £-71.3K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions up to £-55.6K from previous £-71.3K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions: ¥-152.1K vs previous ¥-122.7K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions: ¥-152.1K vs previous ¥-122.7K
United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions declined to $183.9K from previous $186.7K
United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions declined to $183.9K from previous $186.7K
Forecasting the upcoming week: Fed, BoE and BoJ decisions take center stage
The upcoming week will be dominated by monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve (Fed), Bank of England (BoE) and Bank of Japan (BoJ).
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Kiwi tests 0.5800 as bullish momentum fades
The New Zealand Dollar gains over 0.30% against the US Dollar on Friday. The pair is poised to test key resistance levels with the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.5793, slightly below the 0.5800 figure.
Thai Baht: Oil shock and dovish BoT keep THB pressured against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that the Thai Baht (THB) is trading near its weakest level in more than a year against the US Dollar (USD), as volatile oil prices, a firmer USD and higher US yields weigh on the currency.
Euro falls even amid strong Eurozone PMIs
EUR/USD trades lower near the 1.1370 area on Friday, struggling despite stronger-than-expected Eurozone business-activity figures. The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains firmer near 101.50, offering limited support to the pair.
Gold gains despite firm US Dollar
Gold price (XAU/USD) drifts higher on Friday as the Greenback stands firm, even as growing speculation that the US-Iran war may last longer than expected could, in the end, hurt the prospects of the yellow metal. The XAU/USD trades at $4,065, up 0.38%.
Indonesian Rupiah: BI pause seen as hawkish hold – UOB
UOB Global Economics & Markets Research notes that Bank Indonesia kept its policy rate at 5.75%, opting to let earlier tightening filter through.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD consolidates as bulls struggle to clear the 21-day SMA
Silver (XAG/USD) edges higher on Friday as a pullback in Oil prices pushes US Treasury yields lower, while the US Dollar (USD) fluctuates near recent highs. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades around $58.60, up 2.40% on the day.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average buys a rumour and sleeps through a tariff regime
The index that spent this week absorbing a war premium trades near 52,000 on Friday, around 325 points to the good side, on the strength of a wire report that its own three sources undercut in the same breath.
Singapore Dollar: Hawkish MAS stance supports SGD – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan expects MAS to keep policy unchanged at the July meeting while maintaining a tightening bias, distinguishing between energy-driven and domestically generated inflation. Strong Singapore growth and a positive output gap justify tight settings.