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WTI Falls Below $80 as IEA Trims Demand Growth Outlook
The IEA cut its 2025 oil demand growth forecast to 1.1 mb/d. WTI crude futures fell below $80/bbl.
Strong NFP Lifts DXY to 106.5, Broad Pressure on Non-Dollar Currencies
US May payrolls added 275,000, far beating estimates. DXY rose to 106.5 with the euro, yen and pound all weakening.
Global Gold ETF Net Inflows Hit Highest Since 2020 in Q1
World Gold Council data showed global gold ETF net inflows of 89 tonnes in Q1 — the largest since 2020 — giving gold bulls strong structural support.
Crude Rally Lifts CAD, USD/CAD Drops to 1.34
OPEC+ cut extension and a crude oil rebound pushed the Canadian dollar higher. USD/CAD dropped to 1.3420, a near four-month low.
Platinum Lifted by Hydrogen Vehicle Catalyst Demand, Rises to $1,080 High
Strong demand for platinum catalysts in hydrogen fuel cell vehicles pushed the price to $1,080/oz, up more than 14% year-to-date.
Geopolitical Tensions Push CHF to Five-Year High; SNB Eyes Intervention
Global geopolitical tensions drove safe-haven flows into CHF. USD/CHF fell to 0.8980, with the SNB signaling close monitoring of the exchange rate.
RBNZ Signals Rate Cuts, NZD/USD Falls Over 1.3% in a Day
The RBNZ statement signaled rate cuts, lifting the probability of an August cut to 80%. NZD/USD fell to 0.5985, the lowest since 2024.
Red Sea Tensions Flare Again, Brent Approaches $90 Mark
Continued Red Sea shipping disruptions and renewed escalation pushed Brent near $90, with analysts estimating a $6–$8 geopolitical risk premium per barrel.
US Shale Output Breaks 13.2 mb/d Record, Partly Offsetting OPEC Cuts
EIA data showed US crude daily output at a record 13.2 mb/d, providing a rational explanation for why oil price gains have been capped recently.
Gold's Break from Real Rate Correlation Reshapes Pricing Logic
Gold continued climbing even as US real rates stayed above 2%. The traditional negative correlation has materially weakened, prompting a reassessment of gold's pricing framework.
EUR/CHF Falls to 0.960 as SNB Intervention Debate Intensifies
Eurozone pessimism pushed EUR/CHF to 0.960, approaching the SNB's historical intervention trigger zone, keeping markets on high alert for official action.
Asian LNG Spot Prices Recover to $13/mmBtu on Japan-Korea Buying
Japanese and South Korean LNG buyers buying on dips lifted Asian spot prices. The JKM benchmark recovered to about $13/mmBtu.
USD/CNY Approaches 7.30; PBOC Fixing Consistently Signals Stability
CNY faced headwinds from broad dollar strength, with USD/CNY near 7.30. The PBOC used consecutive stronger-than-expected fixings to signal exchange rate stability.