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China: Growth slowdown with uneven momentum – DBS
DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji project China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to slow from 5.0% year-on-year in Q1 to 4.8% in Q2.
Canada: Labour market steadying with modest improvement – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Nathan Janzen notes that Canadian labour markets showed further signs of stabilisation in June, following a stronger improvement in May. Employment rose modestly, while per-worker conditions improved and the unemployment rate edged down to 6.5%.
Euro remains pinned at one-year lows against the British Pound as Euro Area inflation moderates
The Euro (EUR) remains on the defensive against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday, with the EUR/GBP pair unable to take off from one-year lows at the 0.8515 area. Data from Germany and France confirmed that inflationary pressures moderated in June, which added pressure on the common currency.
WTI rally takes a timeout amid signs of US-Iran war de-escalation
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil futures on NYMEX trade slightly lower to near $71.50 during the European trading session on Friday. The Oil price extends its correction after posting a fresh over two-week high at $75.73 on Wednesday.
US Dollar: AI-driven imports reshape trade – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur says AI-related capital-goods imports are structurally widening the US trade deficit. Strong foreign demand currently helps finance the gap, but weaker confidence in the United States (US) AI (Artificial intelligence) investment story could create risks for the Dollar.
Oil: Brent retraces gains on fragile ceasefire – Rabobank
Rabobank strategist Molly Schwartz notes that Brent Oil traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains constrained despite a nominal ceasefire between the US and Iran. War insurance costs have risen sharply and shipowners are being advised to pause Hormuz voyages.
British Pound: Upside risk toward resistance against US Dollar – UOB
According to UOB’s Quek Ser Leang, GBP/USD’s sharp rebound has left scope to test major resistance at 1.3445, though a clear break is seen as unlikely in the near term. Short-term support lies at 1.3390 and 1.3360.
United States Dollar Index extends losses as US and Iran attempt to resume talks
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading lower for the third consecutive day on Friday.
Forex Today: US Dollar extends correction as US-Iran conflict remains under spotlight
Here is what you need to know on Friday, July 10:
Euro: Narrow path for sustained strength against US Dollar – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole writes that Middle East tensions have modestly re-tightened EUR/USD short-term swap rate differentials by around 10bp, though the spread remains wider than pre-war levels.
Austria Industrial Production (YoY) climbed from previous 0.6% to 0.7% in May
Austria Industrial Production (YoY) climbed from previous 0.6% to 0.7% in May
Equities: Tech and chips drive relief rally – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists say a strong semiconductor rally and lower oil prices helped lift global equities. The S&P 500 rebounded as investors rotated from defensive sectors into growth and cyclical stocks, while gains in Micron and SK Hynix reinforced confidence in the AI investment cycle.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Gathers strength above 0.5750, but remains below key technical resistance
The NZD/USD pair trades in positive territory around 0.5775 during the early European session on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) gathers strength to its strongest level in three weeks against the US Dollar (USD) on a hawkish rate hike from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ).