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Cập nhật các tin tức, dữ liệu và phân tích quan trọng tác động đến forex và thị trường tài chính toàn cầu.
Oil: War risks keep prices volatile – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Benjamin Picton notes that Oil futures are lower after President Trump paused further strikes on Iran, reversing last week’s Brent surge above $100.
Japanese Yen: Hawkish shift needed to aid JPY against US Dollar – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is widely expected to keep rates unchanged, but stresses that markets need a clearer tightening signal as the Japanese Yen trades near multi-decade lows.
British Pound: BoE seen on hold as risks linger – UOB
UOB strategists note GBP/USD edged up to 1.3326, with Gilts caught between fiscal risks from Prime Minister Burnham’s debut plans and the Oil price shock.
ECB’s Žigman: Central bank is committed to ensure inflation stable around 2%
The remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Governor of Croatia's central bank, Ante Žigman, in an interview with Jutarnji List, released during the European trading session on Monday, signal that the central bank will remain vigilant about the intensity and duration of
US Dollar: Fed hold and data support – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) hold and a goldilocks-like United States (US) macro backdrop to keep the US Dollar (USD) supported in coming days.
WTI drops to near $82.50 as US, Iran pause strikes for potential diplomacy
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price opened at a bearish gap, down by over 7%, trading around $82.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Monday. Crude oil prices declined after the United States (US) and Iran paused strikes over the weekend, following two weeks of direct attacks.
Euro gains strongly against US Dollar on revival of risk-on sentiment
The Euro (EUR) trades 0.36% higher to near 1.1410 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday. The major currency pair trades firmly as the revival of risk-on market sentiment has diminished the safe-haven appeal of the US Dollar.
Equities: Earnings and Fed keep risk balanced – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s strategists note that global equities delivered a mixed performance, with the S&P 500 posting a second consecutive weekly decline even as semiconductor shares recovered. European and some Asian markets fared better, while US futures moved higher at the start of the week.
Oil: Mounting supply risks and price pressures – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay notes that Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) have pulled back after sharp gains, but underlying risks to Oil remain elevated. Escalation in the Persian Gulf and potential closure of the Strait of Bab al-Mandab are seen as key threats to supply routes.
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: In a positive trend with bulls eyeing 0.8555 resistance
The Euro (EUR) has picked up towards the 0.8540 area against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday, after a mild pullback on Friday found support at 0.8530. The pair maintains the immediate bullish trend from mid-July lows at 0.8455, with bulls looking at three-week highs in the area of 0.8555.
Euro: September hike outlook offers support against US Dollar – UOB
UOB strategists highlight that EUR/USD slipped slightly to 1.1369 as comments from European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Gediminas Simkus suggested a rate increase remains more likely than a hold.
Indian Rupee gains vertically as oil prices sink
The Indian Rupee (INR) extends its recovery against the US Dollar (USD) at the start of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy week.
Japanese Yen gains against US Dollar at the start of Fed-BoJ policy week
The Japanese Yen starts the week on a positive note against the US Dollar (USD), but is down against its other currency peers.

