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British Pound: Rally resumes toward key resistance against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that GBP/USD has surged to a two‑month high, with deeply overbought conditions but scope for further gains. Intraday, upside is seen limited to a test of 1.3560 while holding above 1.3480.
British Pound consolidates near multi-year top vs JPY; bullish potential intact
The GBP/JPY cross enters a bullish consolidation phase following the previous day's blowout rally and oscillates in a range near mid-219.00s through the early European session on Thursday.
Iran's army says war may spread to new arenas
According to an Iranian army spokesperson, the United States (US) continues to attack several areas, while warning that the war will spread to new arenas, the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) reported. The spokesperson also said that Tehran has no confrontation with neighboring states.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Waning hawkish Fed bets back more downside
The US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure as traders have repriced the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate hike expectations. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, holds onto Wednesday’s losses near 100.48.
Equities: Softer US inflation lifts stocks near records – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank notes that softer US producer inflation prompted a dovish Fed repricing, supporting the S&P 500 near record highs. Strong BlackRock earnings and an Apple-led mega-cap rally offset semiconductor weakness, while Asian markets declined as chip stocks extended their sell-off.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Trades around 0.7000 after pulling back from 50-day EMA
AUD/USD edges lower after two days of gains, trading around 0.7000 during the early European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the pair is moving upwards within the ascending channel pattern, suggesting an emerging bullish bias.
US Dollar: Disinflation meets Oil – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that softer United States (US) inflation data has reduced expectations of near-term Fed tightening, weighing on front-end US yields and the US Dollar (USD) while supporting risk-sensitive assets.
Canadian Dollar weakens as traders brace for US Retail Sales data
The USD/CAD pair recovers some lost ground to around 1.4045, snapping the seven-day losing streak during the early European session on Thursday. Markets turn cautious amid heightened tensions in the Middle East and ahead of the US June Retail Sales data later on Thursday.
Forex Today: Majors stabilize as USD selloff loses steam
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, July 16:
New Zealand Dollar holds gains around 0.5850, favoured by a softer US Dollar
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has retraced previous losses and extends gains for the third consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday. The NZD/USD pair has reached the 0.5850 area, supported by a weakening Greenback, as markets dial down hopes of a Federal Reserve rate hike in July.
India: Semiconductor push and INR funding dynamics – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s economists highlight India’s new USD13.3bn India Semiconductor Mission 2.0, aimed at building a full-stack semiconductor ecosystem, though they judge near-term growth impact as limited.
Oil: Physical market tightens with Persian Gulf risks – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note Oil prices have extended gains as US–Iran tensions escalate and tanker flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain under pressure. Large second-quarter inventory drawdowns and the imminent end of global SPR releases leave the market more exposed.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD tumbles to near $57 as inflation projections remain de-anchored
Silver price (XAG/USD) trades 1.33% lower to near $58.00 during the European trading session on Thursday. The white metal faces selling pressure as elevated energy prices due to renewed aggression between the United States (US) and Iran have de-anchored inflation expectations again.