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Federal Reserve: Data driven rate path – HSBC
HSBC strategists note that the Federal Reserve (Fed) left policy rates unchanged in July, with markets now assigning a two-thirds probability to a September hike.
WTI stays lower near $78.50 ahead of US-Iran peace talks 2.0
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trade 7.4% lower at around $78.50 during the European trading session on Monday. The Oil price holds onto its opening losses, driven by the announcement of a ceasefire 2.0 between the United States (US) and Iran.
Gold consolidates as conflicting US-Iran headlines and hawkish Fed bets cap gains
Gold (XAU/USD) trims gains after opening the week with a bullish gap as buyers lack conviction amid conflicting US-Iran headlines and caution ahead of key US employment data. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,036, easing from an intraday high of $4,084.
Fed’s Williams: Affirms confidence for inflation to return to 2% target
The remarks from New York Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank President John Williams, in an interview with Reuters that took place on Friday and was released during the European trading session on Monday, signal that he was confident about inflation returning to the central bank’s 2% target.
New Zealand Dollar eases as markets focus on US-Iran talks
NZD/USD trades around 0.5870 on Monday at the time of writing, down 0.11% on the day.
Breaking: US ISM Manufacturing PMI rises to 55.6 in July vs. 54 expected
Business activity in the US manufacturing sector expanded at an accelerating pace in July, with the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rising to 55.6 from 53.3 in June. This reading came in better than the market expectation of 54.
Euro area: Services PMI and inflation risks – BNY
Geoff Yu at BNY argues that the lack of further Fed tightening has eased global financial conditions and partially offset European Central Bank (ECB) tightening, but European inflation dynamics remain distinct from the U.S.
British Pound eases to 1.3450 area following downwardly revised Manufacturing PMI data
The British Pound (GBP) is trimming previous gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, returning to the mid-range of the 1.3400s down from fresh seven-week highs, above 1.3500 earlier on the day.
Gold: Explosive phase, muted correction – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank Research analysts Michael Hsueh and Bryant Xu argue that Gold has been in an explosive price phase since August 2024, but recent moves suggest a muted correction.
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Monday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $58.38 per troy ounce, up 1.37% from the $57.59 it cost on Friday.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD struggles to extend opening gains amid hawkish Fed bets
Silver price (XAG/USD) opens strongly due to a sharp decline in oil prices, but struggles to extend gains beyond $58.68 during the day. At press time, the Silver price is up 1% to near $58.20.
Oil: prices slide on halted strikes – Commerzbank
Commerzbank strategists report that Brent Oil opened over 7% lower under USD84 into the Asian session after President Trump said the United States (US) would hold off on new strikes against Iran.
Swiss Franc weakens following soft inflation, manufacturing data
USD/CHF extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 0.8090 during the European hours on Monday. The pair remains on a stronger footing as the Swiss Franc (CHF) holds onto losses following the release of soft domestic inflation and manufacturing data.