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Euro: ECB hawkish repricing with bond selloff – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank Research’s Early Morning Reid notes that European assets are sensitive to the renewed energy shock. Market pricing for ECB hikes by December rose sharply, implying a chance of three hikes this year after June’s move.
US Dollar Index: Fed hawks supported by energy spike – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes that higher Oil prices and Gulf tensions have driven a bigger reaction in rates than in FX, with Brent near $80 supporting Fed hawks. The US Dollar (USD) is expected to stay firm versus low-yielders, while carry trades in Emerging Markets (EM) have been unwound.
US Dollar: Constructive outlook as Oil risks build – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note renewed Middle East tensions and higher Oil prices are lifting the US Dollar (USD) and global bond yields.
Australian Dollar steadies above 0.6900 as markets price a negotiated end to Iran’s war
The Australian Dollar (AUD) keeps trading sideways against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, showing a surprising resilience to the escalating tensions in Iran.
Greece Consumer Price Index (YoY) declined to 4.4% in June from previous 5.2%
Greece Consumer Price Index (YoY) declined to 4.4% in June from previous 5.2%
Greece Consumer Price Index - Harmonized (YoY) fell from previous 4.9% to 3.9% in June
Greece Consumer Price Index - Harmonized (YoY) fell from previous 4.9% to 3.9% in June
Japanese Yen remains pressured close to 40-year lows as intervention risks linger
The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains locked in a high-stakes standoff against the US Dollar, testing the ultimate limits of Tokyo’s tolerance for its local currency to depreciate.
Dow Jones futures advance due to tech, AI rally
Dow Jones futures gain 0.17% to trade around 52,710 during European trading hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.34% and 0.74%, trading near 7,550 and 29,690, respectively.
United States Dollar Index Price Forecast: Flirts with 23.6% Fibo./weekly low below 101.00
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, extends the previous day's pullback from the 101.25-101.30 region and attracts some follow-through sellers on Thursday.
Japanese Yen gains against US Dollar despite renewed geopolitical risks
The Japanese Yen (JPY) trades higher against the US Dollar (USD) despite renewed geopolitical risks.
Euro: Early gains against US Dollar at risk on Fed story – ING
Chris Turner at ING highlights that EUR/USD has held up despite higher Oil, as Euro swap rates outperformed US rates on expectations of an ECB hike in September. However, he argues the Fed narrative will dominate, with EUR/USD likely to surrender gains and fall below 1.14.
Japan’s Kihara says government aims to secure market trust by stably lowering debt-to-GDP ratio
Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara said during the European trading session on Thursday that the administration wants to secure market trust by stably lowering the government debt-to-GDP ratio.
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Euro wavers around 1.1430 with the bearish trend intact
The Euro (EUR) posts moderate gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, hitting session highs near 1.1440, yet trapped within the weekly range, with the broader bearish trend in play.

