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British Pound loses momentum as fiscal and monetary headwinds mount
The British Pound (GBP) is facing a notable loss of upward momentum across major currency pairs as UK political headlines and fiscal concerns re-emerge.
Hungarian Forint: NBH easing path and FX pressure – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects the National Bank of Hungary (NBH) to cut rates by 25bp to 5.75%, continuing its easing cycle despite recent FX and rates pressure.
Australian Dollar hits fresh monthly highs above 0.7020 as risk aversion ebbs
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is showing one of the best performances among major currencies on Tuesday, appreciating to fresh one-month highs against the US Dollar, amid hopes of a ceasefire in Iran.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD attempts Descending Triangle breakout near $4,070
Gold price (XAU/USD) is up 1.5% to near $4,067 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The precious metal outperforms as the rally in oil prices has stalled, with investors turning confident that negotiations between the United States (US) and Iran towards peace have resumed.
162.70: Japanese Yen nears 40-year lows against the US Dollar
The Japanese Yen (JPY) keeps drifting lower on Tuesday, unfazed by the mild US Dollar’s weakness.
British Pound: CPI focus supports Sterling against US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that dip buying in Sterling has kept GBP/USD trading above its 200-day moving average near 1.3403, even as Gilts remain under pressure.
Japanese Yen: Energy shock and Japan policy risks – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes USD/JPY is holding just below year-to-date highs as a negative energy price shock weighs on the Japanese Yen. Rising Brent prices linked to US–Iran tensions and Houthi threats to shipping highlight global supply risks.
Hungarian Forint: MNB easing on lower inflation – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the central bank of Hungary Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB) to cut its base rate by 25bp to 5.75%, continuing June’s easing cycle.
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $58.96 per troy ounce, up 4.54% from the $56.40 it cost on Monday.
Czech Koruna: CNB stance supports CZK against Euro – ING
EMEA (Europe, the Middle East, and Africa) strategist Frantisek Taborsky at ING says regional data in Poland and the Czech Republic are constructive, but Central and Eastern European (CEE) FX remains driven by US–Iran tensions and Oil prices.
Oil: Escalation risks and Dollar support – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight rising geopolitical risks around Middle East supply routes, warning that a deeper conflict could push Oil back above USD100/bbl and revive volatility.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA support near 1.3400
GBP/USD remains weaker for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 1.3430 during the European hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a prevailing bullish bias as the pair remains within the ascending channel.
Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment improves more than expected to 26.3 in July
German ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment arrives at 26.3 in July, beating the estimates of 18.0 and the June reading of 10.5.