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Japanese Yen: GPIF narrative keeps FX volatility elevated – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Japan remains a key source of two‑way FX volatility as markets digest conflicting signals on Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) allocations.
US Dollar: Geopolitics and inflation risks support Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar (USD) has gained modestly as renewed US–Iran tensions lift Brent Oil back to USD80, with markets rebuilding a geopolitical risk premium.
Russia Foreign Trade up to $14.154B in May from previous $11.431B
Russia Foreign Trade up to $14.154B in May from previous $11.431B
Swiss Franc: SNB intervention and cautious policy stance – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley describes how the Swiss National Bank has actively countered safe haven inflows into the Swiss Franc since the Iran war, selling CHF and signalling increased willingness to intervene.
Oil: Strait of Hormuz risks reshape macro mix – BNY
BNY's Geoff Yu notes that renewed U.S.-Iran tensions have lifted Brent and WTI, with markets reassessing energy supply risks and broader risk sentiment.
Germany Current Account n.s.a. declined to €10.4B in May from previous €13.8B
Germany Current Account n.s.a. declined to €10.4B in May from previous €13.8B
Euro climbs above 1.1400 as US Dollar loses ground
EUR/USD trades with a mild positive bias on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) gives back its earlier gains. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1424 after recovering from an intraday low of 1.1384.
US President Trump: We are taking over the Strait of Hormuz
In an interview with Fox News on Monday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said that they will probably take over the Strait of Hormuz and argued that they should be reimbursed for controlling it.
US Dollar Index: Range holds as markets await Warsh and CPI – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that the US Dollar Index (DXY) Index has been confined between 100.5 and 102 for three weeks as traders await clarity on whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) will proceed with a potential rate hike later this year.
Japanese Yen: Consolidation near resistance band against US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux describes USD/JPY consolidating after failing again at resistance near 162.80. The pair is seen in a narrow range, with key support at 160.40 tied to the March peak and upside projections towards 163.70/164.40 if resistance breaks.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ tightening risks watched – UOB
UOB’s Lee Sue Ann and Jester Koh note that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised the Official Cash Rate to 2.50% in July and adopted a more hawkish tone as inflation risks remain elevated.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drifts below $4,100, but bears start to look exhausted
Gold (XAU/USD) extends losses on Monday, with price action drifting below the $4,100 line, amid a risk-off market mood, as tensions between the US and Iran flare.
Canadian Dollar: Supported against US Dollar by steady BoC outlook – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that the Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.25%, with markets not pricing cuts until at least Q4.