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United Kingdom: BoE hold view reinforced – Nomura
Nomura’s Global Markets Research team, including Josie Anderson, George Buckley and Andrzej Szczepaniak, notes that UK CPI data for August came in broadly as expected, with headline inflation at 3.1% and core and services measures unchanged.
United States Business Inventories above expectations (0.3%) in July: Actual (0.8%)
United States Business Inventories above expectations (0.3%) in July: Actual (0.8%)
United States NAHB Housing Market Index came in at 32, below expectations (34) in September
United States NAHB Housing Market Index came in at 32, below expectations (34) in September
Fed’s Warsh: Decision today was the right decision
This section below was published at 18:00 GMT to cover the Federal Reserve's policy decisions and the immediate market reaction.
Eurozone: Manufacturing outlook steadies as year-end hopes build – ING
ING’s Bert Colijn notes that Eurozone industrial production slipped by 0.1% in both June and July, leaving output broadly unchanged from a year earlier. He highlights resilience in capital goods and energy, but continued weakness in consumer-focused sectors, especially non-durable goods.
Euro trades cautiously against US Dollar ahead of expected Fed rate hike
EUR/USD consolidates losses on Wednesday as traders avoid taking strong directional positions ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement.
Silver price rebounds ahead of expected Fed rate hike, Warsh press conference
Silver (XAG/USD) rebounds on Wednesday and trades around $64.00 per troy ounce at the time of writing, up 1.32% on the day.
US Dollar: Fed pricing creates asymmetric risks – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad says the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by energy-driven risk aversion ahead of the FOMC decision.
Bank of England: Hawkish hold risks and November hike – MUFG
MUFG’s Henry Cook expects the Bank of England to deliver a hawkish hold, with UK inflation driven higher by energy and headline CPI projected to exceed 4% after the January price cap reset.
Euro: Markets test ECB reaction function – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen notes that EUR money markets now discount more than four additional European Central Bank (ECB) rate hikes beyond the two already delivered, as investors push expectations ahead of policymakers.
United States Retail Sales rose by 1.2% MoM in August
Retail Sales in the United States increased to $773.9 billion in August, the US Census Bureau reported on Wednesday. This print represents a monthly gain of 1.2%, a reversal of the 0.5% contraction recorded in the previous month, and came in above market expectations (+0.8%).
British Pound: Sterling stability challenged by narrowing carry – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Shreyas Gopal notes that Bank of England (BoE) meetings have repeatedly seen early market speculation on tightening fade as decisions approach, keeping the Pound stable and EUR/GBP in a narrow range.
United States Import Price Index (YoY) above expectations (0%) in August: Actual (7%)
United States Import Price Index (YoY) above expectations (0%) in August: Actual (7%)